Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 12.2°C, reflecting mild continental air advection amid weak pressure gradients. Recent model runs show minimal spread—ECMWF ensembles span 10–14°C—differentiated by cloud cover variability and diel solar heating, with Turkish State Meteorological Service observations confirming overnight lows near 7°C. Historical March 24 highs average 12.5°C over 30 years, but current odds favor 12°C (35%) over 13°C (26%) due to anticipated light southerly winds capping peaks below 13°C, pending afternoon updates. Uncertainty persists from potential convective showers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 34%
13°C 26%
11°C 24%
10°C 16%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
7%
10°C
16%
11°C
24%
12°C
35%
13°C
26%
14°C
13%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 34%
13°C 26%
11°C 24%
10°C 16%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
7%
10°C
16%
11°C
24%
12°C
35%
13°C
26%
14°C
13%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 12.2°C, reflecting mild continental air advection amid weak pressure gradients. Recent model runs show minimal spread—ECMWF ensembles span 10–14°C—differentiated by cloud cover variability and diel solar heating, with Turkish State Meteorological Service observations confirming overnight lows near 7°C. Historical March 24 highs average 12.5°C over 30 years, but current odds favor 12°C (35%) over 13°C (26%) due to anticipated light southerly winds capping peaks below 13°C, pending afternoon updates. Uncertainty persists from potential convective showers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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