Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Tel Aviv high of 17°C (22%) or 16°C (17.5%) on March 26, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mild conditions under persistent northerly winds channeling cooler Mediterranean air, with highs plateauing around 16-17°C amid partial cloud cover. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns, projecting 15-18°C based on current upper-level troughing over the Levant, differentiating these from warmer outliers like 21°C+ (16.5%) via suppressed solar insolation and sea-breeze moderation. Historical March averages near 20°C underscore model-implied cooldown from recent frontal passage, though diurnal timing and urban heat island effects introduce 1-2°C uncertainty in peak readings from official stations. Key watch: 48-hour forecast updates for resolution tweaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
17°C 22%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
14°C 17%
11°C or below
16%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C
16%
19°C
14%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
17%
17°C 22%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
14°C 17%
11°C or below
16%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C
16%
19°C
14%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Tel Aviv high of 17°C (22%) or 16°C (17.5%) on March 26, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mild conditions under persistent northerly winds channeling cooler Mediterranean air, with highs plateauing around 16-17°C amid partial cloud cover. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns, projecting 15-18°C based on current upper-level troughing over the Levant, differentiating these from warmer outliers like 21°C+ (16.5%) via suppressed solar insolation and sea-breeze moderation. Historical March averages near 20°C underscore model-implied cooldown from recent frontal passage, though diurnal timing and urban heat island effects introduce 1-2°C uncertainty in peak readings from official stations. Key watch: 48-hour forecast updates for resolution tweaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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