Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 20°C high in Tel Aviv on March 23 at 50% implied probability, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a daytime maximum around 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Supporting this, ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS converge on 20-22°C peaks, moderated by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and seasonal norms for late March, where historical averages hover at 19-21°C. Recent developments include stable upper-air patterns with no heatwave signals, as confirmed by updated satellite data and minimal model divergence in the past 48 hours, positioning 19-21°C outcomes as leading while downplaying extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
20°C 48%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
21%
20°C
48%
21°C
26%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
2%
20°C 48%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
21%
20°C
48%
21°C
26%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 20°C high in Tel Aviv on March 23 at 50% implied probability, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a daytime maximum around 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Supporting this, ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS converge on 20-22°C peaks, moderated by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and seasonal norms for late March, where historical averages hover at 19-21°C. Recent developments include stable upper-air patterns with no heatwave signals, as confirmed by updated satellite data and minimal model divergence in the past 48 hours, positioning 19-21°C outcomes as leading while downplaying extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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