Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature clusters tightly around 17-20°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which show a spread of 16-22°C amid variable Mediterranean sea breezes and upper-level troughing. Israel's Meteorological Service latest update indicates mostly clear skies with light northerly winds, favoring 18-19°C as top implied probabilities at 22% and 19%, slightly edging out 17°C (18.5%) due to modest warm air advection. Historical March averages hover near 19°C, but diurnal cloud variability and coastal cooling differentiate lower outcomes like 17°C from warmer 20-21°C projections, with traders awaiting hourly soundings for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 25 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 25 mars ?
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 19%
20°C 19%
14°C ou moins
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
1%
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 19%
20°C 19%
14°C ou moins
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature clusters tightly around 17-20°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which show a spread of 16-22°C amid variable Mediterranean sea breezes and upper-level troughing. Israel's Meteorological Service latest update indicates mostly clear skies with light northerly winds, favoring 18-19°C as top implied probabilities at 22% and 19%, slightly edging out 17°C (18.5%) due to modest warm air advection. Historical March averages hover near 19°C, but diurnal cloud variability and coastal cooling differentiate lower outcomes like 17°C from warmer 20-21°C projections, with traders awaiting hourly soundings for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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