Trader sentiment on Beijing's highest temperature on March 29 reflects tight forecast uncertainty, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles centering implied highs around 22–25°C amid a mild spring warming trend. Recent developments include a departing cold front from Siberia allowing southerly winds to boost temperatures, per China Meteorological Administration updates, while lingering cloud cover and variable jet stream positioning introduce divergence—some runs favor 25°C+ peaks, others cap at 22°C. Historical March norms (average high ~12–15°C) underscore the anomaly driven by positive temperature departures linked to weakening La Niña influences. Key differentiators include soil moisture levels dampening extremes and urban heat island effects in central Beijing; watch CMA's 00Z update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 29?
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
21°C 17%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
17%
22°C
26%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C or higher
15%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
21°C 17%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
17%
22°C
26%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Beijing's highest temperature on March 29 reflects tight forecast uncertainty, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles centering implied highs around 22–25°C amid a mild spring warming trend. Recent developments include a departing cold front from Siberia allowing southerly winds to boost temperatures, per China Meteorological Administration updates, while lingering cloud cover and variable jet stream positioning introduce divergence—some runs favor 25°C+ peaks, others cap at 22°C. Historical March norms (average high ~12–15°C) underscore the anomaly driven by positive temperature departures linked to weakening La Niña influences. Key differentiators include soil moisture levels dampening extremes and urban heat island effects in central Beijing; watch CMA's 00Z update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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