Trader sentiment on Beijing's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 21–23°C, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecasts projecting mild highs amid post-frontal clearing skies and light southerly winds boosting daytime solar heating. Leading 21°C odds (23.5%) edge out 23°C (19.5%) and 22°C (19.0%) due to ECMWF's slightly cooler bias versus GFS's warmer tilt, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C above rural baselines. Recent model runs show minimal spread (19–24°C), tempered by spring variability—historical late-March maxima average 18–20°C per China Meteorological Administration data—while low cloud cover risk favors upper-end outcomes over cooler 18–20°C bets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?
21°C 24%
23°C 20%
22°C 19%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
15%
20°C
16%
21°C
24%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
7%
21°C 24%
23°C 20%
22°C 19%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
15%
20°C
16%
21°C
24%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Beijing's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 21–23°C, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecasts projecting mild highs amid post-frontal clearing skies and light southerly winds boosting daytime solar heating. Leading 21°C odds (23.5%) edge out 23°C (19.5%) and 22°C (19.0%) due to ECMWF's slightly cooler bias versus GFS's warmer tilt, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C above rural baselines. Recent model runs show minimal spread (19–24°C), tempered by spring variability—historical late-March maxima average 18–20°C per China Meteorological Administration data—while low cloud cover risk favors upper-end outcomes over cooler 18–20°C bets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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