Trader sentiment clusters around 68°F or higher at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Dallas highs in the upper 60s on March 28. A recent shift in the past 48 hours—departure of a lingering cold front and establishment of a high-pressure ridge over Texas—has boosted warming potential via southerly winds and ample sunshine, elevating odds for 68°F+ while distributing uncertainty across 62-67°F bins. Climatological March averages near 67°F provide baseline support, though inherent forecast divergence leaves room for cloudiness or timing shifts to tip outcomes lower. Key watch: afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for refined peak temperature trajectories.