Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 88-93°F for Dallas's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent high-pressure ridge amplifying southerly flow and adiabatic warming. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a mean near 90°F, with spread arising from variability in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks—favoring 88-89°F if diurnally driven convection develops, versus 92-93°F under clearer skies and stronger subsidence. Historical March baselines (mid-70s) underscore this warm anomaly tied to lingering El Niño influences, though short-term updates could shift odds as resolution nears midnight UTC.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 26 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 26 mars ?
88-89 °F 25%
90-91°F 25%
92-93°F 25%
84-85°F 17%
79°F ou moins
2%
80-81°F
12%
82-83 °F
15%
84-85°F
17%
30-30,5°C
17%
88-89 °F
25%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
25%
94-95 °F
15%
96-97°F
12%
98°F ou plus
16%
88-89 °F 25%
90-91°F 25%
92-93°F 25%
84-85°F 17%
79°F ou moins
2%
80-81°F
12%
82-83 °F
15%
84-85°F
17%
30-30,5°C
17%
88-89 °F
25%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
25%
94-95 °F
15%
96-97°F
12%
98°F ou plus
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 88-93°F for Dallas's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent high-pressure ridge amplifying southerly flow and adiabatic warming. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a mean near 90°F, with spread arising from variability in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks—favoring 88-89°F if diurnally driven convection develops, versus 92-93°F under clearer skies and stronger subsidence. Historical March baselines (mid-70s) underscore this warm anomaly tied to lingering El Niño influences, though short-term updates could shift odds as resolution nears midnight UTC.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes