National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on March 29 indicate a high temperature most likely in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with trader consensus where 78-79°F leads at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 76-77°F at 25.5%. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs show ensemble means around 79°F, driven by a building subtropical ridge promoting sunny skies and efficient diurnal heating, though sea breeze timing and patchy clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating the top bins. Historical March averages hover near 79°F, with current neutral ENSO conditions supporting mild warmth without extremes. New 12z model updates expected today could refine probabilities ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on March 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on March 29 indicate a high temperature most likely in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with trader consensus where 78-79°F leads at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 76-77°F at 25.5%. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs show ensemble means around 79°F, driven by a building subtropical ridge promoting sunny skies and efficient diurnal heating, though sea breeze timing and patchy clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating the top bins. Historical March averages hover near 79°F, with current neutral ENSO conditions supporting mild warmth without extremes. New 12z model updates expected today could refine probabilities ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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