Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models tilt trader odds toward 84-85°F (27.5% implied probability) as Miami's top high on March 27, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and light southerly winds that enhance daytime heating over warm Atlantic waters. The razor-thin edge over 82-83°F (25.5%) stems from minor model divergences: GFS leans warmer at 85°F peaks, while ECMWF clusters around 83°F, reflecting uncertainties in sea-breeze timing and afternoon cloudiness. Historical March 27 highs average 80°F at Miami International Airport, but above-normal sea surface temperatures (2-3°F anomaly) and fading El Niño effects support this bullish warmth bias, with NWS point forecast near 84°F. Key watch: tomorrow's 12Z model updates could shift the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 19%
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 19%
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models tilt trader odds toward 84-85°F (27.5% implied probability) as Miami's top high on March 27, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and light southerly winds that enhance daytime heating over warm Atlantic waters. The razor-thin edge over 82-83°F (25.5%) stems from minor model divergences: GFS leans warmer at 85°F peaks, while ECMWF clusters around 83°F, reflecting uncertainties in sea-breeze timing and afternoon cloudiness. Historical March 27 highs average 80°F at Miami International Airport, but above-normal sea surface temperatures (2-3°F anomaly) and fading El Niño effects support this bullish warmth bias, with NWS point forecast near 84°F. Key watch: tomorrow's 12Z model updates could shift the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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