Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS converge on Wuhan highs of 21-24°C for March 27, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds around these outcomes amid a mild southerly flow displacing cooler continental air. Recent observations show March 26 peaking at 20°C with clear skies persisting, boosting confidence in diurnal heating under light winds, though partial cloudiness could cap peaks at 21-22°C versus sunnier scenarios favoring 23-24°C. Seasonal norms hover near 18°C historically, but urban heat island effects and early spring warming tilt sentiment upward, with 25°C+ odds low due to model ceilings below 25°C and negligible cold snap risks. Traders eye afternoon CMA updates for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
21°C 19%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
15%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
14%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
9%
21°C 19%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
15%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
14%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS converge on Wuhan highs of 21-24°C for March 27, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds around these outcomes amid a mild southerly flow displacing cooler continental air. Recent observations show March 26 peaking at 20°C with clear skies persisting, boosting confidence in diurnal heating under light winds, though partial cloudiness could cap peaks at 21-22°C versus sunnier scenarios favoring 23-24°C. Seasonal norms hover near 18°C historically, but urban heat island effects and early spring warming tilt sentiment upward, with 25°C+ odds low due to model ceilings below 25°C and negligible cold snap risks. Traders eye afternoon CMA updates for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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