Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, project Chengdu's highest temperature on March 28 around 22-24°C, fueling tight trader odds with 24°C or higher leading at 31%, closely trailed by 23°C (25%) and 22°C (20%). This spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Sichuan, which boosts daytime heating potential despite lingering spring moisture. Historical late-March highs average 18-20°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent advection of warmer air from the south has elevated implied probabilities, with key resolution hinging on observed solar insolation and minimal convective inhibition. Traders eye afternoon updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?
24°C or higher 30%
23°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C 11%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
31%
24°C or higher 30%
23°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C 11%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, project Chengdu's highest temperature on March 28 around 22-24°C, fueling tight trader odds with 24°C or higher leading at 31%, closely trailed by 23°C (25%) and 22°C (20%). This spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Sichuan, which boosts daytime heating potential despite lingering spring moisture. Historical late-March highs average 18-20°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent advection of warmer air from the south has elevated implied probabilities, with key resolution hinging on observed solar insolation and minimal convective inhibition. Traders eye afternoon updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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