Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Seoul's March 28 high temperature between 13-16°C amid a mild spring air mass with southerly winds boosting daytime maxima. Leading 14°C odds (19.5%) edge out neighbors due to recent model runs emphasizing partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 18°C+ at 15% captures upside risk from potential clear skies or urban heat island amplification in Seoul. Historical late-March averages hover near 12°C, but this year's early warming trend—seen in 15°C+ readings last week—supports the elevated cluster, with final KMA updates tomorrow as the key catalyst before resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
14°C 21%
18°C or higher 20%
16°C 17%
15°C 16%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
7%
10°C
7%
11°C
11%
12°C
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
21%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
10%
18°C or higher
20%
14°C 21%
18°C or higher 20%
16°C 17%
15°C 16%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
7%
10°C
7%
11°C
11%
12°C
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
21%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
10%
18°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Seoul's March 28 high temperature between 13-16°C amid a mild spring air mass with southerly winds boosting daytime maxima. Leading 14°C odds (19.5%) edge out neighbors due to recent model runs emphasizing partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 18°C+ at 15% captures upside risk from potential clear skies or urban heat island amplification in Seoul. Historical late-March averages hover near 12°C, but this year's early warming trend—seen in 15°C+ readings last week—supports the elevated cluster, with final KMA updates tomorrow as the key catalyst before resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes