Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C and 23°C as Taipei's highest temperature on March 28, each at 28.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest short-range forecasts projecting afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid mild northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover. Historical March data shows average highs around 23°C, but recent model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate slight cooling from a lingering frontal boundary, differentiating these leaders from cooler 21°C odds (15%) tied to potential showers or warmer 24°C+ (13.5% combined) under clearer skies. Uncertainty persists in microscale urban heat effects and diurnally varying humidity, with final CWA updates key before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
22°C 29%
23°C 29%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
15%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
7%
22°C 29%
23°C 29%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
15%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C and 23°C as Taipei's highest temperature on March 28, each at 28.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest short-range forecasts projecting afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid mild northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover. Historical March data shows average highs around 23°C, but recent model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate slight cooling from a lingering frontal boundary, differentiating these leaders from cooler 21°C odds (15%) tied to potential showers or warmer 24°C+ (13.5% combined) under clearer skies. Uncertainty persists in microscale urban heat effects and diurnally varying humidity, with final CWA updates key before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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