Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 19°C to 21°C in Chongqing on March 28, driven by converging global weather model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project mild spring conditions amid a weakening cold air mass from the north. Historical data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average March 28 highs around 18.5°C, with recent years trending 1-2°C warmer due to urban heat island effects and shifting jet stream patterns. Differentiating factors include forecast spread from variable low-level moisture—favoring 19°C if clouds persist, or 21°C under clearer skies—and minimal precipitation odds (under 20%), reducing cooling. Traders eye final CMA updates for resolution via official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
20°C 19%
21°C 18%
17°C 14%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
14%
18°C
18%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
9%
20°C 19%
21°C 18%
17°C 14%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
14%
18°C
18%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 19°C to 21°C in Chongqing on March 28, driven by converging global weather model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project mild spring conditions amid a weakening cold air mass from the north. Historical data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average March 28 highs around 18.5°C, with recent years trending 1-2°C warmer due to urban heat island effects and shifting jet stream patterns. Differentiating factors include forecast spread from variable low-level moisture—favoring 19°C if clouds persist, or 21°C under clearer skies—and minimal precipitation odds (under 20%), reducing cooling. Traders eye final CMA updates for resolution via official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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