Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Chongqing high temperature of 20-22°C on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster around 21°C amid mild spring conditions. Recent 00Z runs show slight divergence: ECMWF leans warmer at 22°C due to anticipated downslope winds and urban heat island amplification in the Yangtze River basin, while GFS implies 20°C with lingering stratiform clouds from an upstream low-pressure system suppressing peaks. Historical March normals (18-20°C) and low wind shear support this tight range, though diel temperature cycles and potential afternoon convection could nudge outcomes by 1-2°C, explaining the razor-thin odds separation. China Meteorological Administration updates at 1200 UTC may catalyze shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
21°C 23%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 20%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
20%
20°C
22%
21°C
23%
22°C
21%
23°C
13%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 23%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 20%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
20%
20°C
22%
21°C
23%
22°C
21%
23°C
13%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Chongqing high temperature of 20-22°C on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster around 21°C amid mild spring conditions. Recent 00Z runs show slight divergence: ECMWF leans warmer at 22°C due to anticipated downslope winds and urban heat island amplification in the Yangtze River basin, while GFS implies 20°C with lingering stratiform clouds from an upstream low-pressure system suppressing peaks. Historical March normals (18-20°C) and low wind shear support this tight range, though diel temperature cycles and potential afternoon convection could nudge outcomes by 1-2°C, explaining the razor-thin odds separation. China Meteorological Administration updates at 1200 UTC may catalyze shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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