Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on March 26 centers on 7-10°C outcomes, with 9°C leading at 28.5% implied probability, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 8-9°C under persistent low pressure and cool northerly winds. This setup, featuring cloudy skies and light showers, caps daytime heating below the late-March seasonal average of 11°C, as confirmed by historical data from Heathrow observations. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models diverge by 2-3°C—UKMO control run favors 9°C via stable stratiform cloud, while GFS outliers hint at 10-13°C if ridging builds—highlighting forecast uncertainty from jet stream waviness and poor spring predictability, keeping sub-7°C tails alive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 mars ?
9°C 34%
8°C 24%
7°C 23%
10°C 22%
3°C ou moins
1%
4°C
18%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
23%
8°C
24%
9°C
29%
10°C
22%
11°C
19%
12°C
18%
13°C ou plus
11%
9°C 34%
8°C 24%
7°C 23%
10°C 22%
3°C ou moins
1%
4°C
18%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
23%
8°C
24%
9°C
29%
10°C
22%
11°C
19%
12°C
18%
13°C ou plus
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on March 26 centers on 7-10°C outcomes, with 9°C leading at 28.5% implied probability, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 8-9°C under persistent low pressure and cool northerly winds. This setup, featuring cloudy skies and light showers, caps daytime heating below the late-March seasonal average of 11°C, as confirmed by historical data from Heathrow observations. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models diverge by 2-3°C—UKMO control run favors 9°C via stable stratiform cloud, while GFS outliers hint at 10-13°C if ridging builds—highlighting forecast uncertainty from jet stream waviness and poor spring predictability, keeping sub-7°C tails alive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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