Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding 60% implied probability as the highest-grossing 2026 release because of sustained franchise momentum after No Way Home’s record performance and Tom Holland’s proven draw with global audiences. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 19.5% on the strength of its December 18 date, Avengers brand recognition, and the return of Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans, which industry trackers see as creating a late-year event surge. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 5.8% benefits from the first film’s $1.3 billion haul and family-friendly animation appeal, while Toy Story 5 at 4.2% rides Pixar’s consistent theatrical reliability. Earlier 2026 releases such as Project Hail Mary and Michael have posted solid openings but lack the scale to challenge these frontrunners, leaving room for final-quarter adjustments based on marketing and competition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 60%
Avengers : Doomsday 20%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 5.8%
Toy Story 5 4.2%
$7,983,887 Vol.
$7,983,887 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
60%
Avengers : Doomsday
20%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
6%
Toy Story 5
4%
L’Odyssée
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
1%
Scream 7
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Projet Hail Mary
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 60%
Avengers : Doomsday 20%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 5.8%
Toy Story 5 4.2%
$7,983,887 Vol.
$7,983,887 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
60%
Avengers : Doomsday
20%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
6%
Toy Story 5
4%
L’Odyssée
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
1%
Scream 7
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Projet Hail Mary
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding 60% implied probability as the highest-grossing 2026 release because of sustained franchise momentum after No Way Home’s record performance and Tom Holland’s proven draw with global audiences. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 19.5% on the strength of its December 18 date, Avengers brand recognition, and the return of Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans, which industry trackers see as creating a late-year event surge. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 5.8% benefits from the first film’s $1.3 billion haul and family-friendly animation appeal, while Toy Story 5 at 4.2% rides Pixar’s consistent theatrical reliability. Earlier 2026 releases such as Project Hail Mary and Michael have posted solid openings but lack the scale to challenge these frontrunners, leaving room for final-quarter adjustments based on marketing and competition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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