Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 34% implied probability over Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 33%, fueled by Nintendo's recent confirmation of its April 3, 2026, release—perfectly timed for family Easter crowds and echoing the original's record-shattering $1.36 billion global haul as the top animated film ever. Mario's all-ages appeal and proven repeat-viewing power give it an edge in early-year dominance, while Spider-Man's July slot faces stiffer superhero competition amid Marvel fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday lags at 15.5% despite December prestige, as traders weigh IP freshness and box office multipliers against crowded slates; watch for trailer drops and casting news as pivotal catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Le film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 33%
Avengers : Doomsday 16%
L’Odyssée 3.4%
$1,905,885 Vol.
$1,905,885 Vol.
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
33%
Avengers : Doomsday
16%
L’Odyssée
3%
Projet Hail Mary
3%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
2%
Michael
2%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 33%
Avengers : Doomsday 16%
L’Odyssée 3.4%
$1,905,885 Vol.
$1,905,885 Vol.
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
33%
Avengers : Doomsday
16%
L’Odyssée
3%
Projet Hail Mary
3%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
2%
Michael
2%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 34% implied probability over Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 33%, fueled by Nintendo's recent confirmation of its April 3, 2026, release—perfectly timed for family Easter crowds and echoing the original's record-shattering $1.36 billion global haul as the top animated film ever. Mario's all-ages appeal and proven repeat-viewing power give it an edge in early-year dominance, while Spider-Man's July slot faces stiffer superhero competition amid Marvel fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday lags at 15.5% despite December prestige, as traders weigh IP freshness and box office multipliers against crowded slates; watch for trailer drops and casting news as pivotal catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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