Trader sentiment on the 2026 highest-grossing movie market hinges on a tight duel between Spider-Man: Brand New Day (38.5%) and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (32.5%), fueled by their powerhouse franchises' proven billion-dollar track records—Spider-Man's live-action MCU synergy post-No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul versus Mario Bros.' $1.36 billion family animation dominance. Spider-Man edges ahead on broader teen-to-adult appeal and Sony-Marvel marketing muscle, while Mario benefits from Illumination's kid-centric global pull and lighter competition in animated blockbusters. Avengers: Doomsday (15.5%) trails amid MCU fatigue concerns despite Russo brothers' return, with key differentiators like staggered summer-fall releases and international box office precedents shaping trader bets ahead of trailer drops and final schedules.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Le film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 39%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 33%
Avengers : Doomsday 16%
L’Odyssée 3.8%
$2,041,726 Vol.
$2,041,726 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
39%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
33%
Avengers : Doomsday
16%
L’Odyssée
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Michael
2%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
2%
Projet Hail Mary
2%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 39%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 33%
Avengers : Doomsday 16%
L’Odyssée 3.8%
$2,041,726 Vol.
$2,041,726 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
39%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
33%
Avengers : Doomsday
16%
L’Odyssée
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Michael
2%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
2%
Projet Hail Mary
2%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on the 2026 highest-grossing movie market hinges on a tight duel between Spider-Man: Brand New Day (38.5%) and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (32.5%), fueled by their powerhouse franchises' proven billion-dollar track records—Spider-Man's live-action MCU synergy post-No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul versus Mario Bros.' $1.36 billion family animation dominance. Spider-Man edges ahead on broader teen-to-adult appeal and Sony-Marvel marketing muscle, while Mario benefits from Illumination's kid-centric global pull and lighter competition in animated blockbusters. Avengers: Doomsday (15.5%) trails amid MCU fatigue concerns despite Russo brothers' return, with key differentiators like staggered summer-fall releases and international box office precedents shaping trader bets ahead of trailer drops and final schedules.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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