Trader sentiment for the 2026 highest-grossing movie crown hinges on the razor-thin duel between The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (34%) and Spider-Man: Brand New Day (33%), fueled by their billion-dollar franchise legacies—the original Mario film's $1.36 billion haul and Spider-Man's No Way Home peak—amid a stacked slate. Mario edges ahead on family-friendly global appeal and Illumination's animation dominance, facing lighter Q2 competition versus Spider-Man's superhero summer clash with Avengers: Doomsday (15.5%), which contends with MCU fatigue despite Russo brothers' return. Key differentiators include Mario's evergreen Nintendo IP versus Spidey's star-driven hype with Tom Holland, with box office forecasts hinging on international legs and pre-release tracking ahead of April-June rollouts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Le film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 33%
Avengers : Doomsday 16%
L’Odyssée 3.8%
$1,899,426 Vol.
$1,899,426 Vol.
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
33%
Avengers : Doomsday
16%
L’Odyssée
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
2%
Michael
2%
Projet Hail Mary
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 33%
Avengers : Doomsday 16%
L’Odyssée 3.8%
$1,899,426 Vol.
$1,899,426 Vol.
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
34%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
33%
Avengers : Doomsday
16%
L’Odyssée
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
2%
Michael
2%
Projet Hail Mary
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for the 2026 highest-grossing movie crown hinges on the razor-thin duel between The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (34%) and Spider-Man: Brand New Day (33%), fueled by their billion-dollar franchise legacies—the original Mario film's $1.36 billion haul and Spider-Man's No Way Home peak—amid a stacked slate. Mario edges ahead on family-friendly global appeal and Illumination's animation dominance, facing lighter Q2 competition versus Spider-Man's superhero summer clash with Avengers: Doomsday (15.5%), which contends with MCU fatigue despite Russo brothers' return. Key differentiators include Mario's evergreen Nintendo IP versus Spidey's star-driven hype with Tom Holland, with box office forecasts hinging on international legs and pre-release tracking ahead of April-June rollouts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes