Project Hail Mary commands a 98.7% implied probability as the highest domestically grossing March release through April 30, driven by dominant box office tracking estimates projecting a $120M-plus opening weekend, fueled by Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the proven appeal of Andy Weir's sci-fi bestseller akin to The Martian's $630M worldwide haul. Directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller add Lego Movie-style visual spectacle, with recent trailer views surpassing 50 million in 48 hours boosting presales. Hoppers trails at 1.1% despite Pixar branding, hampered by recent originals' modest theatrical starts like Elemental ($29M debut), while The Bride's 0.1% reflects its niche horror musical positioning. Realistic upsets hinge on Hail Mary's sci-fi audience turnout faltering amid superhero fatigue or Hoppers surging via family Easter timing, though trader consensus sees minimal risk pre-release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe film de mars le plus rentable au pays le 30 avril ?
Le film de mars le plus rentable au pays le 30 avril ?
Projet Hail Mary 98.7%
Hoppers 1.1%
La Mariée <1%
$42,112 Vol.
$42,112 Vol.
Projet Hail Mary
99%
Hoppers
1%
La Mariée
<1%
Projet Hail Mary 98.7%
Hoppers 1.1%
La Mariée <1%
$42,112 Vol.
$42,112 Vol.
Projet Hail Mary
99%
Hoppers
1%
La Mariée
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Project Hail Mary commands a 98.7% implied probability as the highest domestically grossing March release through April 30, driven by dominant box office tracking estimates projecting a $120M-plus opening weekend, fueled by Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the proven appeal of Andy Weir's sci-fi bestseller akin to The Martian's $630M worldwide haul. Directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller add Lego Movie-style visual spectacle, with recent trailer views surpassing 50 million in 48 hours boosting presales. Hoppers trails at 1.1% despite Pixar branding, hampered by recent originals' modest theatrical starts like Elemental ($29M debut), while The Bride's 0.1% reflects its niche horror musical positioning. Realistic upsets hinge on Hail Mary's sci-fi audience turnout faltering amid superhero fatigue or Hoppers surging via family Easter timing, though trader consensus sees minimal risk pre-release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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