Market icon

Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Market icon

Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Aucune peine de prison 27.1%

10-20 ans 23.6%

20-30 ans 20.1%

<5 ans 15.7%

Polymarket

$679,364 Vol.

Aucune peine de prison 27.1%

10-20 ans 23.6%

20-30 ans 20.1%

<5 ans 15.7%

Polymarket

$679,364 Vol.

Aucune peine de prison

$291,208 Vol.

27%

<5 ans

$48,123 Vol.

16%

5-10 ans

$34,409 Vol.

9%

10-20 ans

$120,672 Vol.

24%

20-30 ans

$150,799 Vol.

20%

Plus de 30 ans

$34,154 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Uncertainty surrounding Harvey Weinstein's overturned New York conviction drives fragmented trader sentiment, with no prison time at 27% implied probability edging out 10-20 years (24%) and 20-30 years (20%), reflecting the #MeToo-era producer's precarious legal position. His 16-year California rape conviction remains intact, anchoring mid-range odds, but the April appellate reversal—citing prejudicial testimony—sparks bets on potential release via appeals or health grounds amid recent hospitalizations for complications from cancer surgery. New York retrial, now eyed for spring 2025 following September's fresh sex crime indictment plea, plus his age (72), heighten volatility; traders weigh stacked sentences against prosecutorial hurdles and guild-like industry backlash waning post-conviction snubs.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$679,364
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Uncertainty surrounding Harvey Weinstein's overturned New York conviction drives fragmented trader sentiment, with no prison time at 27% implied probability edging out 10-20 years (24%) and 20-30 years (20%), reflecting the #MeToo-era producer's precarious legal position. His 16-year California rape conviction remains intact, anchoring mid-range odds, but the April appellate reversal—citing prejudicial testimony—sparks bets on potential release via appeals or health grounds amid recent hospitalizations for complications from cancer surgery. New York retrial, now eyed for spring 2025 following September's fresh sex crime indictment plea, plus his age (72), heighten volatility; traders weigh stacked sentences against prosecutorial hurdles and guild-like industry backlash waning post-conviction snubs.

Uncertainty surrounding Harvey Weinstein's overturned New York conviction drives fragmented trader sentiment, with no prison time at 27% implied probability edging out 10-20 years (24%) and 20-30 years (20%), reflecting the #MeToo-era producer's precarious legal position. His 16-year California rape conviction remains intact, anchoring mid-range odds, but the April appellate reversal—citing prejudicial testimony—sparks bets on potential release via appeals or health grounds amid recent hospitalizations for complications from cancer surgery. New York retrial, now eyed for spring 2025 following September's fresh sex crime indictment plea, plus his age (72), heighten volatility; traders weigh stacked sentences against prosecutorial hurdles and guild-like industry backlash waning post-conviction snubs.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucune peine de prison » à 27%, suivi de « 10-20 ans » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » a généré $679.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » est « Aucune peine de prison » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 10-20 ans » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.