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icon for Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

icon for Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Aucune peine de prison 100.0%

<5 ans <1%

5-10 ans <1%

10-20 ans <1%

Polymarket

$1,140,813 Vol.

Aucune peine de prison 100.0%

<5 ans <1%

5-10 ans <1%

10-20 ans <1%

Polymarket

$1,140,813 Vol.

Aucune peine de prison

$397,012 Vol.

Oui

<5 ans

$149,024 Vol.

Non

5-10 ans

$97,919 Vol.

Non

10-20 ans

$181,925 Vol.

Non

20-30 ans

$219,610 Vol.

Non

Plus de 30 ans

$95,322 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Harvey Weinstein’s market dominance at 100% implied probability for “No Prison Time” reflects trader assessment of his advanced age (73), documented medical fragility, and six-plus years already served amid repeated New York retrials and appeals. The June 2026 decision by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg to forgo further prosecution on the Jessica Mann charges, combined with the producer’s California 16-year sentence running consecutively yet facing resentencing proceedings, has reinforced expectations that any additional incarceration will effectively be nullified by health-related release, time served credits, or plea resolutions. Recent court appearances describe Weinstein as frail and wheelchair-bound at Rikers, aligning with historical patterns where elderly defendants in similar cases receive substantial leniency. An upset scenario would require reversal of the dropped charges, new credible allegations advancing to trial before September sentencing, or successful defense appeals restoring full consecutive terms—developments that remain low-probability given current procedural trajectory and precedent.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,140,813
Date de fin
31 déc. 2025
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Harvey Weinstein’s market dominance at 100% implied probability for “No Prison Time” reflects trader assessment of his advanced age (73), documented medical fragility, and six-plus years already served amid repeated New York retrials and appeals. The June 2026 decision by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg to forgo further prosecution on the Jessica Mann charges, combined with the producer’s California 16-year sentence running consecutively yet facing resentencing proceedings, has reinforced expectations that any additional incarceration will effectively be nullified by health-related release, time served credits, or plea resolutions. Recent court appearances describe Weinstein as frail and wheelchair-bound at Rikers, aligning with historical patterns where elderly defendants in similar cases receive substantial leniency. An upset scenario would require reversal of the dropped charges, new credible allegations advancing to trial before September sentencing, or successful defense appeals restoring full consecutive terms—developments that remain low-probability given current procedural trajectory and precedent.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,140,813
Date de fin
31 déc. 2025
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Connexes

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Don Lemon condamné à une peine de prison ?

5%
Oui
icon for James Comey condamné à une peine de prison en 2026 ?

James Comey condamné à une peine de prison en 2026 ?

2%
Oui
icon for Clavicular condamné à la prison ?

Clavicular condamné à la prison ?

6%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucune peine de prison » à 100%, suivi de « <5 ans » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » a généré $1.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » est « Aucune peine de prison » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <5 ans » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.