Polymarket traders remain deeply divided on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison outcome, with "No Prison Time" edging ahead at 27.1% amid ongoing appeals and health complications, while 10-20 years (19.1%) and 20-30 years (17.8%) trail closely, reflecting his current 16-year California rape conviction. The New York Court of Appeals' April 2024 reversal of his 2020 conviction—citing prejudicial testimony—sparked momentum for lighter sentences, bolstered by recent defense bids to delay a 2025 retrial over Weinstein's frailty and hospitalizations. California's July denial of his overturn motion sustains longer-term bets, but procedural wins and #MeToo fatigue fuel uncertainty. Watch for retrial scheduling and federal appeal rulings as key swing factors in this high-stakes legal drama.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourUne peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Aucune peine de prison 27.1%
20-30 ans 19.3%
10-20 ans 19.1%
<5 ans 12.5%
$680,872 Vol.
$680,872 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Aucune peine de prison
27%
<5 ans
13%
5-10 ans
10%
10-20 ans
19%
20-30 ans
19%
Plus de 30 ans
5%
Aucune peine de prison 27.1%
20-30 ans 19.3%
10-20 ans 19.1%
<5 ans 12.5%
$680,872 Vol.
$680,872 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Aucune peine de prison
$291,641 Vol.
27%
<5 ans
$48,513 Vol.
13%
5-10 ans
$34,649 Vol.
10%
10-20 ans
$120,817 Vol.
19%
20-30 ans
$150,975 Vol.
19%
Plus de 30 ans
$34,390 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders remain deeply divided on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison outcome, with "No Prison Time" edging ahead at 27.1% amid ongoing appeals and health complications, while 10-20 years (19.1%) and 20-30 years (17.8%) trail closely, reflecting his current 16-year California rape conviction. The New York Court of Appeals' April 2024 reversal of his 2020 conviction—citing prejudicial testimony—sparked momentum for lighter sentences, bolstered by recent defense bids to delay a 2025 retrial over Weinstein's frailty and hospitalizations. California's July denial of his overturn motion sustains longer-term bets, but procedural wins and #MeToo fatigue fuel uncertainty. Watch for retrial scheduling and federal appeal rulings as key swing factors in this high-stakes legal drama.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$680,872Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders remain deeply divided on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison outcome, with "No Prison Time" edging ahead at 27.1% amid ongoing appeals and health complications, while 10-20 years (19.1%) and 20-30 years (17.8%) trail closely, reflecting his current 16-year California rape conviction. The New York Court of Appeals' April 2024 reversal of his 2020 conviction—citing prejudicial testimony—sparked momentum for lighter sentences, bolstered by recent defense bids to delay a 2025 retrial over Weinstein's frailty and hospitalizations. California's July denial of his overturn motion sustains longer-term bets, but procedural wins and #MeToo fatigue fuel uncertainty. Watch for retrial scheduling and federal appeal rulings as key swing factors in this high-stakes legal drama.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$680,872Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders remain deeply divided on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison outcome, with "No Prison Time" edging ahead at 27.1% amid ongoing appeals and health complications, while 10-20 years (19.1%) and 20-30 years (17.8%) trail closely, reflecting his current 16-year California rape conviction. The New York Court of Appeals' April 2024 reversal of his 2020 conviction—citing prejudicial testimony—sparked momentum for lighter sentences, bolstered by recent defense bids to delay a 2025 retrial over Weinstein's frailty and hospitalizations. California's July denial of his overturn motion sustains longer-term bets, but procedural wins and #MeToo fatigue fuel uncertainty. Watch for retrial scheduling and federal appeal rulings as key swing factors in this high-stakes legal drama.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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