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Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Market icon

Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?

Aucune peine de prison 27.2%

20-30 ans 20.8%

10-20 ans 18.4%

<5 ans 12.0%

Polymarket

$679,627 Vol.

Aucune peine de prison 27.2%

20-30 ans 20.8%

10-20 ans 18.4%

<5 ans 12.0%

Polymarket

$679,627 Vol.

Aucune peine de prison

$291,224 Vol.

27%

<5 ans

$48,257 Vol.

12%

5-10 ans

$34,409 Vol.

9%

10-20 ans

$120,750 Vol.

18%

20-30 ans

$150,833 Vol.

21%

Plus de 30 ans

$34,154 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives no prison time a slim 27.1% edge for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting the fallout from his New York conviction's April overturn on procedural grounds, which vacated a 23-year sentence and spurred retrial delays into 2025. His standing 16-year California rape conviction fuels the 20-30 year cluster at 19.7%, but recent hospitalizations for infections and heart issues at age 72 have amplified bets on health-related releases or successful appeals. Competitive dynamics turn on appellate court rulings—potentially slashing time served—and #MeToo era scrutiny versus aging producer's legal maneuvering, with no major shifts in the past week amid ongoing health updates. Watch California appeal decisions expected soon.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$679,627
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives no prison time a slim 27.1% edge for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting the fallout from his New York conviction's April overturn on procedural grounds, which vacated a 23-year sentence and spurred retrial delays into 2025. His standing 16-year California rape conviction fuels the 20-30 year cluster at 19.7%, but recent hospitalizations for infections and heart issues at age 72 have amplified bets on health-related releases or successful appeals. Competitive dynamics turn on appellate court rulings—potentially slashing time served—and #MeToo era scrutiny versus aging producer's legal maneuvering, with no major shifts in the past week amid ongoing health updates. Watch California appeal decisions expected soon.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives no prison time a slim 27.1% edge for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting the fallout from his New York conviction's April overturn on procedural grounds, which vacated a 23-year sentence and spurred retrial delays into 2025. His standing 16-year California rape conviction fuels the 20-30 year cluster at 19.7%, but recent hospitalizations for infections and heart issues at age 72 have amplified bets on health-related releases or successful appeals. Competitive dynamics turn on appellate court rulings—potentially slashing time served—and #MeToo era scrutiny versus aging producer's legal maneuvering, with no major shifts in the past week amid ongoing health updates. Watch California appeal decisions expected soon.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucune peine de prison » à 27%, suivi de « 20-30 ans » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » a généré $679.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » est « Aucune peine de prison » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 20-30 ans » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.