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icon for Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

icon for Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Aucun Bond choisi 73%

Callum Turner 5.3%

Harris Dickinson 4.8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.4%

Polymarket

$2,956,115 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi 73%

Callum Turner 5.3%

Harris Dickinson 4.8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.4%

Polymarket

$2,956,115 Vol.

icon for Aucun Bond choisi

Aucun Bond choisi

$293,922 Vol.

73%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$155,247 Vol.

5%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$218,045 Vol.

5%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$155,345 Vol.

3%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$283,411 Vol.

3%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,364 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$266,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,142 Vol.

1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$149,509 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$126,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$176,424 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$255,863 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$248,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$62,159 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$61,058 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond remains in its early stages, with no actor officially selected as of late May 2026, which underpins the dominant 73% implied probability on no choice yet. Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve have engaged casting director Nina Gold, and auditions are underway for a “fresh face” to succeed Daniel Craig, though a final decision is not expected until mid-2026 at the earliest. Recent industry reports and bookmaker odds have elevated Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi as the clearest frontrunners based on meetings and momentum, while Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit just behind, but none have received offers or screen tests confirmed publicly. This fluid pre-production phase, combined with historical delays in Bond casting, sustains the wide spread across lower-probability names.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,956,115
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond remains in its early stages, with no actor officially selected as of late May 2026, which underpins the dominant 73% implied probability on no choice yet. Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve have engaged casting director Nina Gold, and auditions are underway for a “fresh face” to succeed Daniel Craig, though a final decision is not expected until mid-2026 at the earliest. Recent industry reports and bookmaker odds have elevated Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi as the clearest frontrunners based on meetings and momentum, while Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit just behind, but none have received offers or screen tests confirmed publicly. This fluid pre-production phase, combined with historical delays in Bond casting, sustains the wide spread across lower-probability names.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,956,115
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 73%, suivi de « Callum Turner » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » a généré $3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Callum Turner » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.