The casting search for the next James Bond remains in its early stages, with no actor officially selected as of late May 2026, which underpins the dominant 73% implied probability on no choice yet. Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve have engaged casting director Nina Gold, and auditions are underway for a “fresh face” to succeed Daniel Craig, though a final decision is not expected until mid-2026 at the earliest. Recent industry reports and bookmaker odds have elevated Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi as the clearest frontrunners based on meetings and momentum, while Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit just behind, but none have received offers or screen tests confirmed publicly. This fluid pre-production phase, combined with historical delays in Bond casting, sustains the wide spread across lower-probability names.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe prochain acteur de James Bond ?
Aucun Bond choisi 73%
Callum Turner 5.3%
Harris Dickinson 4.8%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.4%
$2,956,115 Vol.
$2,956,115 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi
73%

Callum Turner
5%

Harris Dickinson
5%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
1%

Tom Holland
1%

Theo James
1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Aucun Bond choisi 73%
Callum Turner 5.3%
Harris Dickinson 4.8%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.4%
$2,956,115 Vol.
$2,956,115 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi
73%

Callum Turner
5%

Harris Dickinson
5%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
1%

Tom Holland
1%

Theo James
1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The casting search for the next James Bond remains in its early stages, with no actor officially selected as of late May 2026, which underpins the dominant 73% implied probability on no choice yet. Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve have engaged casting director Nina Gold, and auditions are underway for a “fresh face” to succeed Daniel Craig, though a final decision is not expected until mid-2026 at the earliest. Recent industry reports and bookmaker odds have elevated Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi as the clearest frontrunners based on meetings and momentum, while Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit just behind, but none have received offers or screen tests confirmed publicly. This fluid pre-production phase, combined with historical delays in Bond casting, sustains the wide spread across lower-probability names.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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