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Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Market icon

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Aucun Bond choisi 64%

Callum Turner 21%

Jacob Elordi 3.8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,706,791 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi 64%

Callum Turner 21%

Jacob Elordi 3.8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,706,791 Vol.

Market icon

Aucun Bond choisi

$246,176 Vol.

64%

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Callum Turner

$111,453 Vol.

21%

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Jacob Elordi

$225,871 Vol.

4%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$96,153 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$235,034 Vol.

2%

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James Norton

$107,857 Vol.

2%

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Paul Mescal

$88,856 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$26,147 Vol.

1%

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Tom Hardy

$70,711 Vol.

<1%

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Harris Dickinson

$138,584 Vol.

<1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$174,644 Vol.

<1%

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Theo James

$19,743 Vol.

<1%

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Jack Lowdon

$80,722 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Holland

$65,197 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$19,642 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 63.5% implied probability, driven by Eon Productions and Amazon MGM's prolonged silence on Bond 26 casting five years post-Daniel Craig's exit, with scriptwriter Steven Knight still developing the screenplay and no official shortlist confirmed despite mid-2026 filming rumors. Callum Turner's surge to 21% reflects persistent industry buzz from February's Berlin Film Festival, where the rising English star—fresh off Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts—evaded direct comment on frontrunner reports, fueling viral speculation and betting shifts in March. Trailing contenders like Jacob Elordi (3.4%) and faded favorite Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.1%) lack fresh momentum, underscoring high uncertainty until precursor guild signals or an announcement breaks the deadlock.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,706,791
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 63.5% implied probability, driven by Eon Productions and Amazon MGM's prolonged silence on Bond 26 casting five years post-Daniel Craig's exit, with scriptwriter Steven Knight still developing the screenplay and no official shortlist confirmed despite mid-2026 filming rumors. Callum Turner's surge to 21% reflects persistent industry buzz from February's Berlin Film Festival, where the rising English star—fresh off Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts—evaded direct comment on frontrunner reports, fueling viral speculation and betting shifts in March. Trailing contenders like Jacob Elordi (3.4%) and faded favorite Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.1%) lack fresh momentum, underscoring high uncertainty until precursor guild signals or an announcement breaks the deadlock.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,706,791
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 64%, suivi de « Callum Turner » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 64¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 64% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » a généré $1.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 64%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 64% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Callum Turner » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.