Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (54% implied probability), driven by EON Productions' unhurried approach under Barbara Broccoli, who has emphasized story development over hasty casting post-Daniel Craig, with Bond 26's script still in works and no director confirmed. Callum Turner has surged to 30% as the frontrunner after UK media reports of recent producer meetings, bolstered by his rising star in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat. Jacob Elordi (4.9%) gains traction from Saltburn buzz and his brooding intensity, while Josh O'Connor (3.4%) and faded favorite Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.1%) linger on Challengers acclaim and prior whispers; Henry Cavill (2.4%) persists as a fan pick despite age concerns. All remain unverified rumors amid Amazon's MGM oversight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe prochain acteur de James Bond ?
Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?
Aucun Bond choisi 53%
Callum Turner 31%
Jacob Elordi 4.9%
Josh O'Connor 3.4%
$921,044 Vol.
$921,044 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi
53%

Callum Turner
31%

Jacob Elordi
5%

Josh O'Connor
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Robert James-Collier
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Theo James
1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%
Aucun Bond choisi 53%
Callum Turner 31%
Jacob Elordi 4.9%
Josh O'Connor 3.4%
$921,044 Vol.
$921,044 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi
53%

Callum Turner
31%

Jacob Elordi
5%

Josh O'Connor
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Robert James-Collier
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Theo James
1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (54% implied probability), driven by EON Productions' unhurried approach under Barbara Broccoli, who has emphasized story development over hasty casting post-Daniel Craig, with Bond 26's script still in works and no director confirmed. Callum Turner has surged to 30% as the frontrunner after UK media reports of recent producer meetings, bolstered by his rising star in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat. Jacob Elordi (4.9%) gains traction from Saltburn buzz and his brooding intensity, while Josh O'Connor (3.4%) and faded favorite Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.1%) linger on Challengers acclaim and prior whispers; Henry Cavill (2.4%) persists as a fan pick despite age concerns. All remain unverified rumors amid Amazon's MGM oversight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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