Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets (31.5%) or 90-114 (28.0%) from March 28-30, 2026, mirroring his recent high-volume patterns amid ongoing X platform engagement, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The closely matched frontrunners reflect variability in his daily output—averaging 25-40 posts lately but spiking over 50 during viral controversies or earnings seasons, as seen in late 2024 election fervor and xAI announcements. Lower tiers like 40-64 (18.5%) account for quieter periods, while extremes fade due to historical precedents. Key swing factors include potential Q1 2026 earnings buzz or cultural flashpoints, with traders eyeing his skin-in-the-game responsiveness to real-time events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour65-89 32%
90-114 28%
40-64 19%
115-139 12%
$19,646 Vol.
$19,646 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
19%
65-89
32%
90-114
28%
115-139
12%
140-164
6%
165-189
2%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 32%
90-114 28%
40-64 19%
115-139 12%
$19,646 Vol.
$19,646 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
19%
65-89
32%
90-114
28%
115-139
12%
140-164
6%
165-189
2%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets (31.5%) or 90-114 (28.0%) from March 28-30, 2026, mirroring his recent high-volume patterns amid ongoing X platform engagement, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The closely matched frontrunners reflect variability in his daily output—averaging 25-40 posts lately but spiking over 50 during viral controversies or earnings seasons, as seen in late 2024 election fervor and xAI announcements. Lower tiers like 40-64 (18.5%) account for quieter periods, while extremes fade due to historical precedents. Key swing factors include potential Q1 2026 earnings buzz or cultural flashpoints, with traders eyeing his skin-in-the-game responsiveness to real-time events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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