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Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Market icon

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Finlande 21.1%

Grèce 13.1%

Danemark 11.6%

Suède 10%

Polymarket

$4,834,943 Vol.

Finlande 21.1%

Grèce 13.1%

Danemark 11.6%

Suède 10%

Polymarket

$4,834,943 Vol.

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Finlande

$299,708 Vol.

21%

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Grèce

$119,658 Vol.

13%

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Danemark

$132,309 Vol.

12%

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Suède

$67,455 Vol.

10%

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Israël

$135,496 Vol.

8%

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Italie

$366,583 Vol.

3%

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France

$393,192 Vol.

3%

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Chypre

$181,835 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$95,715 Vol.

3%

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Bulgarie

$421,199 Vol.

3%

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Australie

$63,319 Vol.

3%

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Malte

$162,493 Vol.

2%

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Croatie

$257,500 Vol.

2%

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Norvège

$332,829 Vol.

2%

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Royaume-Uni

$73,795 Vol.

1%

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Lituanie

$87,227 Vol.

1%

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Serbie

$61,695 Vol.

1%

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Allemagne

$67,954 Vol.

1%

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Roumanie

$67,720 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$55,950 Vol.

1%

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Arménie

$26,575 Vol.

1%

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Azerbaïdjan

$73,661 Vol.

1%

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Suisse

$74,938 Vol.

1%

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Albanie

$86,278 Vol.

1%

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Géorgie

$72,374 Vol.

1%

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Tchéquie

$60,641 Vol.

1%

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Saint-Marin

$92,354 Vol.

1%

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Lettonie

$83,780 Vol.

1%

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Pologne

$76,743 Vol.

1%

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Belgique

$305,058 Vol.

1%

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Portugal

$103,574 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavie

$72,077 Vol.

<1%

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Monténégro

$122,214 Vol.

<1%

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Estonie

$67,450 Vol.

<1%

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Autriche

$73,594 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$4,834,943
Date de fin
May 16, 2026
Créé le
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlande" at 21%, followed by "Grèce" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026" has generated $4.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026" is "Finlande" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grèce" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.