Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars' "Die With A Smile" debuted at #1 on the latest Billboard Hot 100, propelled by massive streaming (over 35 million U.S. streams), 24,000 sales, and radio adds, ending Shaboozey's 11-week reign with "A Bar Song (Tipsy)"—the longest run since 2020. This underscores 2024's mix of country crossovers (Post Malone, Shaboozey) and pop surges (Sabrina Carpenter's first #1 with "Please Please Please," Taylor Swift's "Fortnight"), alongside rap moments like Kendrick Lamar on "Like That." With Q4 underway, traders eye weekly chart updates, viral TikTok tracks, major drops from Drake or Bad Bunny, and holiday staples like Mariah Carey's perennial #1 for late-year shifts in artist debuts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuels artistes auront une chanson n °1 du Billboard cette année ?
Quels artistes auront une chanson n °1 du Billboard cette année ?
$48,333 Vol.
Mariah Carey
90%
Drake
78%
Olivia Rodrigo
88%
Ariana Grande
65%
SZA
51%
Billie Eilish
44%
Sabrina Carpenter
42%
Post Malone
38%
Luke Combs
37%
The Weeknd
20%
Travis Scott
33%
Tyler, The Creator
28%
Doja Cat
29%
Zach Bryan
29%
Kanye West
33%
Rihanna
21%
Kendrick Lamar
14%
A$AP Rocky
30%
Ed Sheeran
9%
Jack Harlow
23%
Lil Baby
10%
Playboi Carti
43%
Future
49%
Morgan Wallen
53%
Peso Pluma
48%
Frank Ocean
30%
$48,333 Vol.
Mariah Carey
90%
Drake
78%
Olivia Rodrigo
88%
Ariana Grande
65%
SZA
51%
Billie Eilish
44%
Sabrina Carpenter
42%
Post Malone
38%
Luke Combs
37%
The Weeknd
20%
Travis Scott
33%
Tyler, The Creator
28%
Doja Cat
29%
Zach Bryan
29%
Kanye West
33%
Rihanna
21%
Kendrick Lamar
14%
A$AP Rocky
30%
Ed Sheeran
9%
Jack Harlow
23%
Lil Baby
10%
Playboi Carti
43%
Future
49%
Morgan Wallen
53%
Peso Pluma
48%
Frank Ocean
30%
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Marché ouvert : Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars' "Die With A Smile" debuted at #1 on the latest Billboard Hot 100, propelled by massive streaming (over 35 million U.S. streams), 24,000 sales, and radio adds, ending Shaboozey's 11-week reign with "A Bar Song (Tipsy)"—the longest run since 2020. This underscores 2024's mix of country crossovers (Post Malone, Shaboozey) and pop surges (Sabrina Carpenter's first #1 with "Please Please Please," Taylor Swift's "Fortnight"), alongside rap moments like Kendrick Lamar on "Like That." With Q4 underway, traders eye weekly chart updates, viral TikTok tracks, major drops from Drake or Bad Bunny, and holiday staples like Mariah Carey's perennial #1 for late-year shifts in artist debuts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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