Trump's strong position as president, bolstered by Republican majorities in Congress, drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his removal by April 30. Following his January 20 inauguration, no verifiable health issues, scandals, or legal developments have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Impeachment faces steep hurdles requiring a House majority and two-thirds Senate supermajority, unlikely given GOP control and lack of bipartisan support. Recent focus remains on executive actions, cabinet confirmations, and policy implementation without disruptions. Realistic shifts would need late-breaking events like a major health crisis or unprecedented scandal, though traders see negligible risk in the remaining weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
NEW
$19,567 Vol.
NEW
$19,567 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Oui
NEW
$19,567 Vol.
NEW
$19,567 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's strong position as president, bolstered by Republican majorities in Congress, drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his removal by April 30. Following his January 20 inauguration, no verifiable health issues, scandals, or legal developments have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Impeachment faces steep hurdles requiring a House majority and two-thirds Senate supermajority, unlikely given GOP control and lack of bipartisan support. Recent focus remains on executive actions, cabinet confirmations, and policy implementation without disruptions. Realistic shifts would need late-breaking events like a major health crisis or unprecedented scandal, though traders see negligible risk in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$19,567Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's strong position as president, bolstered by Republican majorities in Congress, drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his removal by April 30. Following his January 20 inauguration, no verifiable health issues, scandals, or legal developments have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Impeachment faces steep hurdles requiring a House majority and two-thirds Senate supermajority, unlikely given GOP control and lack of bipartisan support. Recent focus remains on executive actions, cabinet confirmations, and policy implementation without disruptions. Realistic shifts would need late-breaking events like a major health crisis or unprecedented scandal, though traders see negligible risk in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,567Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's strong position as president, bolstered by Republican majorities in Congress, drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his removal by April 30. Following his January 20 inauguration, no verifiable health issues, scandals, or legal developments have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Impeachment faces steep hurdles requiring a House majority and two-thirds Senate supermajority, unlikely given GOP control and lack of bipartisan support. Recent focus remains on executive actions, cabinet confirmations, and policy implementation without disruptions. Realistic shifts would need late-breaking events like a major health crisis or unprecedented scandal, though traders see negligible risk in the remaining weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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