Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 in the upper chamber—have produced a deliberate legislative pace early in the 119th Congress's second session, favoring President Trump's 26 executive orders in 2026 over bills, as evidenced by March 13 actions on housing affordability bypassing stalled congressional efforts. Trader consensus reflects this caution, with 4 pieces signed at 33% amid narrow margins vulnerable to holdouts and midterm pressures, keeping outcomes like 0 (20.5%) and 7+ (24%) competitive. DHS funding negotiations and housing legislation remain gridlocked ahead of recesses around March 30-April 10, but floor votes on continuing resolutions, border security bills, or appropriations could accelerate signings later in April, potentially tipping probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour4 35%
5 17%
6 16%
0 16%
$11,984 Vol.
$11,984 Vol.
0
16%
1
14%
2
12%
3
16%
4
35%
5
17%
6
16%
7+
14%
4 35%
5 17%
6 16%
0 16%
$11,984 Vol.
$11,984 Vol.
0
16%
1
14%
2
12%
3
16%
4
35%
5
17%
6
16%
7+
14%
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 in the upper chamber—have produced a deliberate legislative pace early in the 119th Congress's second session, favoring President Trump's 26 executive orders in 2026 over bills, as evidenced by March 13 actions on housing affordability bypassing stalled congressional efforts. Trader consensus reflects this caution, with 4 pieces signed at 33% amid narrow margins vulnerable to holdouts and midterm pressures, keeping outcomes like 0 (20.5%) and 7+ (24%) competitive. DHS funding negotiations and housing legislation remain gridlocked ahead of recesses around March 30-April 10, but floor votes on continuing resolutions, border security bills, or appropriations could accelerate signings later in April, potentially tipping probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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