Traders heavily favor no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 76%, reflecting the Ukraine war's entrenched stalemate and irreconcilable demands: Russia's insistence on recognizing annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas versus Ukraine's call for full troop withdrawal and reparations. Recent drivers include Russia's absence from Switzerland's June 2024 peace summit, ongoing Donbas advances, and a December Putin interview signaling no major concessions despite Zelenskyy's ceasefire overtures. Slim odds for venues like Turkey (2.9%) stem from Erdoğan's repeated mediation offers and past grain deal hosting, while Hungary (2.1%) reflects Orbán's bilateral visits; US (2.3%) eyes Trump-era diplomacy post-January inauguration, but historical no-shows since 2022 underpin trader skepticism absent breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas de rencontre avant 2027 76%
Turquie 2.9%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 2.4%
États-Unis 2.3%
$1,181,171 Vol.
$1,181,171 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
76%

Turquie
3%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

États-Unis
2%

Hongrie
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Russia
2%

Suisse
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Biélorussie
1%

China
1%

Kazakhstan
1%

Inde
1%

Ukraine
1%
Pas de rencontre avant 2027 76%
Turquie 2.9%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 2.4%
États-Unis 2.3%
$1,181,171 Vol.
$1,181,171 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
76%

Turquie
3%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

États-Unis
2%

Hongrie
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Russia
2%

Suisse
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Biélorussie
1%

China
1%

Kazakhstan
1%

Inde
1%

Ukraine
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 76%, reflecting the Ukraine war's entrenched stalemate and irreconcilable demands: Russia's insistence on recognizing annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas versus Ukraine's call for full troop withdrawal and reparations. Recent drivers include Russia's absence from Switzerland's June 2024 peace summit, ongoing Donbas advances, and a December Putin interview signaling no major concessions despite Zelenskyy's ceasefire overtures. Slim odds for venues like Turkey (2.9%) stem from Erdoğan's repeated mediation offers and past grain deal hosting, while Hungary (2.1%) reflects Orbán's bilateral visits; US (2.3%) eyes Trump-era diplomacy post-January inauguration, but historical no-shows since 2022 underpin trader skepticism absent breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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