Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 3,500–4,500 delayed US flights for March 26, mirroring recent FAA daily reports showing 3,800–4,200 arrival delays over the past week amid lingering winter weather patterns and high air traffic volume. Scattered thunderstorms forecast across the Midwest and Southeast on March 26 introduce uncertainty, keeping the 4,000–4,500 and 3,500–4,000 bins deadlocked at 38.5% each, while lower bins gain from potential milder conditions. Separation could emerge from intensified storms prompting ground stops or FAA advisories, unexpected air traffic control staffing shortages, or clear skies pushing totals below 3,500 as spring travel demand stabilizes without major disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNumber of US Flights Delayed March 26?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?
3,500-4,000 44%
3,000-3,500 42%
4,000-4,500 39%
4,500-5,000 18%
$1,757 Vol.
$1,757 Vol.
<3,000
8%
3,000-3,500
32%
3,500-4,000
39%
4,000-4,500
39%
4,500-5,000
18%
5,000-5,500
11%
5,500-6,000
9%
>6,000
9%
3,500-4,000 44%
3,000-3,500 42%
4,000-4,500 39%
4,500-5,000 18%
$1,757 Vol.
$1,757 Vol.
<3,000
8%
3,000-3,500
32%
3,500-4,000
39%
4,000-4,500
39%
4,500-5,000
18%
5,000-5,500
11%
5,500-6,000
9%
>6,000
9%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 3,500–4,500 delayed US flights for March 26, mirroring recent FAA daily reports showing 3,800–4,200 arrival delays over the past week amid lingering winter weather patterns and high air traffic volume. Scattered thunderstorms forecast across the Midwest and Southeast on March 26 introduce uncertainty, keeping the 4,000–4,500 and 3,500–4,000 bins deadlocked at 38.5% each, while lower bins gain from potential milder conditions. Separation could emerge from intensified storms prompting ground stops or FAA advisories, unexpected air traffic control staffing shortages, or clear skies pushing totals below 3,500 as spring travel demand stabilizes without major disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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