Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 4 (40.5%) and 5 (36.2%) pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March, reflecting the constrained legislative pace early in his term amid narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47). Recent House passage of border security and spending bills has built momentum, but Senate filibuster threats and Democratic opposition have slowed floor votes, keeping higher tallies like 8+ (12.8%) at bay. Procedural hurdles, including committee markups and conference negotiations, plus competing priorities like debt ceiling talks and appropriations deadlines, maintain the tight race; a bipartisan continuing resolution or swift reconciliation package could push toward 5 or more, while holdouts risk dropping below 4.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour5 37.8%
7 4.3%
6 4.2%
8+ 4.0%
$20,166 Vol.
$20,166 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
0
<1%
1
3%
2
<1%
3
1%
4
41%
5
24%
6
4%
7
4%
8+
12%
5 37.8%
7 4.3%
6 4.2%
8+ 4.0%
$20,166 Vol.
$20,166 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
0
$3,824 Vol.
<1%
1
$1,233 Vol.
3%
2
$6,126 Vol.
<1%
3
$1,539 Vol.
1%
4
$1,648 Vol.
41%
5
$3,151 Vol.
24%
6
$2,044 Vol.
4%
7
$445 Vol.
4%
8+
$153 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 4 (40.5%) and 5 (36.2%) pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March, reflecting the constrained legislative pace early in his term amid narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47). Recent House passage of border security and spending bills has built momentum, but Senate filibuster threats and Democratic opposition have slowed floor votes, keeping higher tallies like 8+ (12.8%) at bay. Procedural hurdles, including committee markups and conference negotiations, plus competing priorities like debt ceiling talks and appropriations deadlines, maintain the tight race; a bipartisan continuing resolution or swift reconciliation package could push toward 5 or more, while holdouts risk dropping below 4.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Volume
$20,166Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 4 (40.5%) and 5 (36.2%) pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March, reflecting the constrained legislative pace early in his term amid narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47). Recent House passage of border security and spending bills has built momentum, but Senate filibuster threats and Democratic opposition have slowed floor votes, keeping higher tallies like 8+ (12.8%) at bay. Procedural hurdles, including committee markups and conference negotiations, plus competing priorities like debt ceiling talks and appropriations deadlines, maintain the tight race; a bipartisan continuing resolution or swift reconciliation package could push toward 5 or more, while holdouts risk dropping below 4.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,166Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 4 (40.5%) and 5 (36.2%) pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March, reflecting the constrained legislative pace early in his term amid narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47). Recent House passage of border security and spending bills has built momentum, but Senate filibuster threats and Democratic opposition have slowed floor votes, keeping higher tallies like 8+ (12.8%) at bay. Procedural hurdles, including committee markups and conference negotiations, plus competing priorities like debt ceiling talks and appropriations deadlines, maintain the tight race; a bipartisan continuing resolution or swift reconciliation package could push toward 5 or more, while holdouts risk dropping below 4.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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