Republican control of Congress and the White House following the 2024 elections has renewed interest in the SAVE Act, which mandates proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and previously passed the House in July 2024 but stalled in the Democratic-led Senate. However, traders price an 89% chance it will not become law in 2026 due to the GOP's 53-47 Senate majority falling short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a likely Democratic filibuster, as the measure does not qualify for budget reconciliation. No reintroduction plans have been officially announced amid competing priorities like tax cuts and border security, with new Senate leadership under John Thune prioritizing unity over contentious procedural fights. The 119th Congress convenes in January 2025, but uncertainty around moderate GOP senators sustains trader skepticism.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
Oui
$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of Congress and the White House following the 2024 elections has renewed interest in the SAVE Act, which mandates proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and previously passed the House in July 2024 but stalled in the Democratic-led Senate. However, traders price an 89% chance it will not become law in 2026 due to the GOP's 53-47 Senate majority falling short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a likely Democratic filibuster, as the measure does not qualify for budget reconciliation. No reintroduction plans have been officially announced amid competing priorities like tax cuts and border security, with new Senate leadership under John Thune prioritizing unity over contentious procedural fights. The 119th Congress convenes in January 2025, but uncertainty around moderate GOP senators sustains trader skepticism.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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