The Tate brothers' July 2026 arrest in Miami on a UK extradition warrant for dozens of charges including rape and sex trafficking has kept them in federal custody while they contest removal. Prosecutors have opposed bail, citing flight risk and community safety concerns during what could extend into months-long proceedings, with Britain required to submit supporting evidence by mid-September. A detention hearing originally set for mid-August was postponed to August 27, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings, any diplomatic steps by the State Department, and ongoing separate Romanian proceedings. Traders price early release dates near zero and year-end odds modestly low because the extradition timeline and presumption against bond in such cases create structural barriers absent a major procedural shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAndrew Tate libéré de prison par... ?
Andrew Tate libéré de prison par... ?
$231,873 Vol.
30 août 2026
August 31
6%
31 décembre
10%
$231,873 Vol.
August 31
$45,581 Vol.
6%
31 décembre
$86,485 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tate brothers' July 2026 arrest in Miami on a UK extradition warrant for dozens of charges including rape and sex trafficking has kept them in federal custody while they contest removal. Prosecutors have opposed bail, citing flight risk and community safety concerns during what could extend into months-long proceedings, with Britain required to submit supporting evidence by mid-September. A detention hearing originally set for mid-August was postponed to August 27, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings, any diplomatic steps by the State Department, and ongoing separate Romanian proceedings. Traders price early release dates near zero and year-end odds modestly low because the extradition timeline and presumption against bond in such cases create structural barriers absent a major procedural shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$231,873Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tate brothers' July 2026 arrest in Miami on a UK extradition warrant for dozens of charges including rape and sex trafficking has kept them in federal custody while they contest removal. Prosecutors have opposed bail, citing flight risk and community safety concerns during what could extend into months-long proceedings, with Britain required to submit supporting evidence by mid-September. A detention hearing originally set for mid-August was postponed to August 27, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings, any diplomatic steps by the State Department, and ongoing separate Romanian proceedings. Traders price early release dates near zero and year-end odds modestly low because the extradition timeline and presumption against bond in such cases create structural barriers absent a major procedural shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$231,873Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Tate brothers' July 2026 arrest in Miami on a UK extradition warrant for dozens of charges including rape and sex trafficking has kept them in federal custody while they contest removal. Prosecutors have opposed bail, citing flight risk and community safety concerns during what could extend into months-long proceedings, with Britain required to submit supporting evidence by mid-September. A detention hearing originally set for mid-August was postponed to August 27, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings, any diplomatic steps by the State Department, and ongoing separate Romanian proceedings. Traders price early release dates near zero and year-end odds modestly low because the extradition timeline and presumption against bond in such cases create structural barriers absent a major procedural shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes