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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?

Market icon
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?

Russie unie (ER) 71%

Nouvelles Personnes (NL) 20.5%

Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 5.8%

Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 1.3%

Polymarket

$4,392,627 Vol.

Russie unie (ER) 71%

Nouvelles Personnes (NL) 20.5%

Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 5.8%

Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 1.3%

Polymarket

$4,392,627 Vol.

Market icon

Russie unie (ER)

$1,215,566 Vol.

71%

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Nouvelles Personnes (NL)

$276,656 Vol.

20%

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Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)

$2,034,112 Vol.

6%

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Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)

$254,599 Vol.

1%

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Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)

$226,400 Vol.

1%

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Rodina

$195,922 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Plateforme Civique (PC)

$189,372 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 70.5% implied probability, owing to its historical sweep of single-member districts—targeting 195 of 225—and Kremlin-orchestrated advantages like redistricting and electronic voting expansion. Recent March 2026 polls from VCIOM and FOM underscore this, showing United Russia leading at 23-55% in proportional voting intentions amid high undecided rates, while New People surges to second place at 7-13% in pro-government surveys like VTsIOM, fueling its 20.5% odds as a potential spoiler for systemic opposition slots. LDPR and KPRF hover at 10-13% each but trail due to stagnant support, with minor parties like SRZP below 5%. United Russia's leadership restructuring and war veteran nominations signal preparations to retain a constitutional majority in the 450-seat chamber.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 70.5% implied probability, owing to its historical sweep of single-member districts—targeting 195 of 225—and Kremlin-orchestrated advantages like redistricting and electronic voting expansion. Recent March 2026 polls from VCIOM and FOM underscore this, showing United Russia leading at 23-55% in proportional voting intentions amid high undecided rates, while New People surges to second place at 7-13% in pro-government surveys like VTsIOM, fueling its 20.5% odds as a potential spoiler for systemic opposition slots. LDPR and KPRF hover at 10-13% each but trail due to stagnant support, with minor parties like SRZP below 5%. United Russia's leadership restructuring and war veteran nominations signal preparations to retain a constitutional majority in the 450-seat chamber.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 70.5% implied probability, owing to its historical sweep of single-member districts—targeting 195 of 225—and Kremlin-orchestrated advantages like redistricting and electronic voting expansion. Recent March 2026 polls from VCIOM and FOM underscore this, showing United Russia leading at 23-55% in proportional voting intentions amid high undecided rates, while New People surges to second place at 7-13% in pro-government surveys like VTsIOM, fueling its 20.5% odds as a potential spoiler for systemic opposition slots. LDPR and KPRF hover at 10-13% each but trail due to stagnant support, with minor parties like SRZP below 5%. United Russia's leadership restructuring and war veteran nominations signal preparations to retain a constitutional majority in the 450-seat chamber.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 70.5% implied probability, owing to its historical sweep of single-member districts—targeting 195 of 225—and Kremlin-orchestrated advantages like redistricting and electronic voting expansion. Recent March 2026 polls from VCIOM and FOM underscore this, showing United Russia leading at 23-55% in proportional voting intentions amid high undecided rates, while New People surges to second place at 7-13% in pro-government surveys like VTsIOM, fueling its 20.5% odds as a potential spoiler for systemic opposition slots. LDPR and KPRF hover at 10-13% each but trail due to stagnant support, with minor parties like SRZP below 5%. United Russia's leadership restructuring and war veteran nominations signal preparations to retain a constitutional majority in the 450-seat chamber.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Russie unie (ER) » à 71%, suivi de « Nouvelles Personnes (NL) » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ? » a généré $4.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ? » est « Russie unie (ER) » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Nouvelles Personnes (NL) » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.