United Russia's institutional dominance in Russia's managed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and regional administrative support, anchors its 59.5% market price to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling shows the party maintaining a lead in party-list support at 33-43%, though below prior results, while New People has posted gains in some surveys among younger and middle-class voters. The mixed proportional and constituency-based framework favors incumbents overall, constraining opposition parties such as LDPR and KPRF despite their polling near or above the five-percent threshold. Stable trends through mid-May reinforce trader consensus on these probabilities ahead of the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?
Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?
Russie unie (ER) 60%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) 31.6%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 5.4%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,337,436 Vol.
$8,337,436 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
60%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
32%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
5%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
3%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plateforme Civique (PC)
<1%
Russie unie (ER) 60%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) 31.6%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 5.4%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,337,436 Vol.
$8,337,436 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
$2,190,622 Vol.
60%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
$1,087,496 Vol.
32%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
$2,280,032 Vol.
5%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
$662,759 Vol.
3%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
$578,211 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$950,931 Vol.
<1%
Plateforme Civique (PC)
$587,628 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's institutional dominance in Russia's managed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and regional administrative support, anchors its 59.5% market price to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling shows the party maintaining a lead in party-list support at 33-43%, though below prior results, while New People has posted gains in some surveys among younger and middle-class voters. The mixed proportional and constituency-based framework favors incumbents overall, constraining opposition parties such as LDPR and KPRF despite their polling near or above the five-percent threshold. Stable trends through mid-May reinforce trader consensus on these probabilities ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Marché ouvert : Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$8,337,436Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's institutional dominance in Russia's managed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and regional administrative support, anchors its 59.5% market price to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling shows the party maintaining a lead in party-list support at 33-43%, though below prior results, while New People has posted gains in some surveys among younger and middle-class voters. The mixed proportional and constituency-based framework favors incumbents overall, constraining opposition parties such as LDPR and KPRF despite their polling near or above the five-percent threshold. Stable trends through mid-May reinforce trader consensus on these probabilities ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$8,337,436Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's institutional dominance in Russia's managed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and regional administrative support, anchors its 59.5% market price to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling shows the party maintaining a lead in party-list support at 33-43%, though below prior results, while New People has posted gains in some surveys among younger and middle-class voters. The mixed proportional and constituency-based framework favors incumbents overall, constraining opposition parties such as LDPR and KPRF despite their polling near or above the five-percent threshold. Stable trends through mid-May reinforce trader consensus on these probabilities ahead of the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes