Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a commanding lead in national polling averages, around 35-38% support, more than double the nearest rivals Moderates (M) at 19% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at 18%, fueling trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for S as the largest party in Sweden's proportional representation system where the top vote-getter typically drives government formation. Recent polls from SCB and Novus in late August confirm S's dominance amid voter dissatisfaction with the center-right government's handling of surging gang violence, immigration policy fallout, and economic headwinds including high inflation and housing costs. No major shifts in the past week, with the next parliamentary election slated for September 2026 barring a snap vote triggered by no-confidence or coalition collapse. Trailing parties like M and SD face uphill paths absent polling surges or scandals hitting S.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections législatives suédoises
Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises
Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) 90%
Démocrates de Suède (SD) 5.0%
Parti modéré (M) 4.3%
Parti vert (MP) <1%
$472,397 Vol.
$472,397 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Parti social-démocrate suédois (S)
90%
Démocrates de Suède (SD)
5%
Parti modéré (M)
4%
Parti vert (MP)
1%
Libéraux (L)
<1%
Parti de gauche (V)
<1%
Coalition des citoyens (MED)
<1%
Parti du centre (C)
<1%
Démocrates chrétiens (KD)
<1%
Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) 90%
Démocrates de Suède (SD) 5.0%
Parti modéré (M) 4.3%
Parti vert (MP) <1%
$472,397 Vol.
$472,397 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Parti social-démocrate suédois (S)
$25,305 Vol.
90%
Démocrates de Suède (SD)
$368,526 Vol.
5%
Parti modéré (M)
$0 Vol.
4%
Parti vert (MP)
$78,566 Vol.
1%
Libéraux (L)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parti de gauche (V)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Coalition des citoyens (MED)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parti du centre (C)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Démocrates chrétiens (KD)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a commanding lead in national polling averages, around 35-38% support, more than double the nearest rivals Moderates (M) at 19% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at 18%, fueling trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for S as the largest party in Sweden's proportional representation system where the top vote-getter typically drives government formation. Recent polls from SCB and Novus in late August confirm S's dominance amid voter dissatisfaction with the center-right government's handling of surging gang violence, immigration policy fallout, and economic headwinds including high inflation and housing costs. No major shifts in the past week, with the next parliamentary election slated for September 2026 barring a snap vote triggered by no-confidence or coalition collapse. Trailing parties like M and SD face uphill paths absent polling surges or scandals hitting S.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$472,397Date de fin
Sep 13, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a commanding lead in national polling averages, around 35-38% support, more than double the nearest rivals Moderates (M) at 19% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at 18%, fueling trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for S as the largest party in Sweden's proportional representation system where the top vote-getter typically drives government formation. Recent polls from SCB and Novus in late August confirm S's dominance amid voter dissatisfaction with the center-right government's handling of surging gang violence, immigration policy fallout, and economic headwinds including high inflation and housing costs. No major shifts in the past week, with the next parliamentary election slated for September 2026 barring a snap vote triggered by no-confidence or coalition collapse. Trailing parties like M and SD face uphill paths absent polling surges or scandals hitting S.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$472,397Date de fin
Sep 13, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a commanding lead in national polling averages, around 35-38% support, more than double the nearest rivals Moderates (M) at 19% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at 18%, fueling trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for S as the largest party in Sweden's proportional representation system where the top vote-getter typically drives government formation. Recent polls from SCB and Novus in late August confirm S's dominance amid voter dissatisfaction with the center-right government's handling of surging gang violence, immigration policy fallout, and economic headwinds including high inflation and housing costs. No major shifts in the past week, with the next parliamentary election slated for September 2026 barring a snap vote triggered by no-confidence or coalition collapse. Trailing parties like M and SD face uphill paths absent polling surges or scandals hitting S.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes