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Monde·Élections Mondiales

Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie

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Monde·Élections Mondiales

Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie

Apr 12

Apr 12

Péter Magyar 63%

Viktor Orbán 37%

László Toroczkai <1%

István Kapitány <1%

Polymarket

$36,151,645 Vol.

Péter Magyar 63%

Viktor Orbán 37%

László Toroczkai <1%

István Kapitány <1%

Polymarket

$36,151,645 Vol.

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Péter Magyar

$4,379,406 Vol.

63%

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Viktor Orbán

$3,864,832 Vol.

37%

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László Toroczkai

$11,370,660 Vol.

<1%

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István Kapitány

$9,359,685 Vol.

<1%

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János Lázár

$2,720,233 Vol.

<1%

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Klára Dobrev

$4,458,229 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 62.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his Tisza party's sustained polling lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with trader consensus driven by Medián's March poll showing Tisza at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February. Recent developments, including Magyar's accusations of secret service targeting against Tisza and Orbán's Revolution Day rally criticizing EU policies, have intensified the race, yet polls consistently favor Tisza's path to a potential majority or coalition enabling Magyar as prime minister through government formation. Orbán holds at 36.5% amid Fidesz's institutional advantages and historical turnout edges, while fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to negligible support in surveys. Markets await final campaigning and any late shifts before resolution post-election.

Péter Magyar's commanding 62.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his Tisza party's sustained polling lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with trader consensus driven by Medián's March poll showing Tisza at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February. Recent developments, including Magyar's accusations of secret service targeting against Tisza and Orbán's Revolution Day rally criticizing EU policies, have intensified the race, yet polls consistently favor Tisza's path to a potential majority or coalition enabling Magyar as prime minister through government formation. Orbán holds at 36.5% amid Fidesz's institutional advantages and historical turnout edges, while fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to negligible support in surveys. Markets await final campaigning and any late shifts before resolution post-election.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 62.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his Tisza party's sustained polling lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with trader consensus driven by Medián's March poll showing Tisza at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February. Recent developments, including Magyar's accusations of secret service targeting against Tisza and Orbán's Revolution Day rally criticizing EU policies, have intensified the race, yet polls consistently favor Tisza's path to a potential majority or coalition enabling Magyar as prime minister through government formation. Orbán holds at 36.5% amid Fidesz's institutional advantages and historical turnout edges, while fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to negligible support in surveys. Markets await final campaigning and any late shifts before resolution post-election.

Péter Magyar's commanding 62.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his Tisza party's sustained polling lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with trader consensus driven by Medián's March poll showing Tisza at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February. Recent developments, including Magyar's accusations of secret service targeting against Tisza and Orbán's Revolution Day rally criticizing EU policies, have intensified the race, yet polls consistently favor Tisza's path to a potential majority or coalition enabling Magyar as prime minister through government formation. Orbán holds at 36.5% amid Fidesz's institutional advantages and historical turnout edges, while fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to negligible support in surveys. Markets await final campaigning and any late shifts before resolution post-election.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Péter Magyar » à 63%, suivi de « Viktor Orbán » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 63¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie » a généré $36.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 24, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie » est « Péter Magyar » à 63%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Viktor Orbán » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain Premier ministre de Hongrie » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.