Edouard Philippe commands overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty for the Le Havre mayoral election due to his strong incumbency since his 2020 victory with 58% in the second round and persistent dominance in recent polling averages showing him above 60% support well ahead of the March 2026 vote. No significant challengers have emerged in the past 30 days, with rivals like Charlotte Boulogne of National Rally and others polling in single digits amid fragmented opposition. This reflects his enduring local popularity bolstered by his prior role as prime minister. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, a unified opposition coalition, or macroeconomic shocks influencing voter turnout, though traders view these as low-probability risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du maire du Havre
Vainqueur de l'élection du maire du Havre
Edouard Philippe 99.8%
Charlotte Boulogne <1%
Franck Keller <1%
Jean-Paul Lecoq <1%
$65,653 Vol.
$65,653 Vol.

Edouard Philippe
100%

Charlotte Boulogne
<1%

Franck Keller
<1%

Jean-Paul Lecoq
<1%

Marie Le Cieux
<1%

Sophie Zarifian
<1%

Magali Cauchois
<1%
Edouard Philippe 99.8%
Charlotte Boulogne <1%
Franck Keller <1%
Jean-Paul Lecoq <1%
$65,653 Vol.
$65,653 Vol.

Edouard Philippe
100%

Charlotte Boulogne
<1%

Franck Keller
<1%

Jean-Paul Lecoq
<1%

Marie Le Cieux
<1%

Sophie Zarifian
<1%

Magali Cauchois
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Le Havre.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Edouard Philippe commands overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty for the Le Havre mayoral election due to his strong incumbency since his 2020 victory with 58% in the second round and persistent dominance in recent polling averages showing him above 60% support well ahead of the March 2026 vote. No significant challengers have emerged in the past 30 days, with rivals like Charlotte Boulogne of National Rally and others polling in single digits amid fragmented opposition. This reflects his enduring local popularity bolstered by his prior role as prime minister. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, a unified opposition coalition, or macroeconomic shocks influencing voter turnout, though traders view these as low-probability risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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