Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, reflecting its sustained polling dominance at 38% in the latest INSA survey for NIUS, well ahead of CDU at 25% and Die Linke at 13%. This lead persists amid the CDU's leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze in January, which has failed to reverse AfD momentum in this eastern state where the party has historically polled strongly on immigration and economic issues. Smaller parties like SPD (6%) and BSW (5%) hover near the 5% threshold, potentially aiding AfD's path to an outright plurality or absolute majority under proportional representation. Absent major scandals or shifts, odds imply low upset risk ahead of campaign intensification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires en Saxe-Anhalt
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Saxe-Anhalt
AfD 90%
CDU 9.0%
SPD <1%
La Gauche <1%
$468,499 Vol.
$468,499 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
90%
CDU
9%
SPD
1%
La Gauche
1%
FDP
<1%
Les Verts
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 90%
CDU 9.0%
SPD <1%
La Gauche <1%
$468,499 Vol.
$468,499 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$4,801 Vol.
90%
CDU
$461,824 Vol.
9%
SPD
$0 Vol.
1%
La Gauche
$1,874 Vol.
1%
FDP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Les Verts
$0 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, reflecting its sustained polling dominance at 38% in the latest INSA survey for NIUS, well ahead of CDU at 25% and Die Linke at 13%. This lead persists amid the CDU's leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze in January, which has failed to reverse AfD momentum in this eastern state where the party has historically polled strongly on immigration and economic issues. Smaller parties like SPD (6%) and BSW (5%) hover near the 5% threshold, potentially aiding AfD's path to an outright plurality or absolute majority under proportional representation. Absent major scandals or shifts, odds imply low upset risk ahead of campaign intensification.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$468,499Date de fin
Sep 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, reflecting its sustained polling dominance at 38% in the latest INSA survey for NIUS, well ahead of CDU at 25% and Die Linke at 13%. This lead persists amid the CDU's leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze in January, which has failed to reverse AfD momentum in this eastern state where the party has historically polled strongly on immigration and economic issues. Smaller parties like SPD (6%) and BSW (5%) hover near the 5% threshold, potentially aiding AfD's path to an outright plurality or absolute majority under proportional representation. Absent major scandals or shifts, odds imply low upset risk ahead of campaign intensification.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$468,499Date de fin
Sep 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, reflecting its sustained polling dominance at 38% in the latest INSA survey for NIUS, well ahead of CDU at 25% and Die Linke at 13%. This lead persists amid the CDU's leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze in January, which has failed to reverse AfD momentum in this eastern state where the party has historically polled strongly on immigration and economic issues. Smaller parties like SPD (6%) and BSW (5%) hover near the 5% threshold, potentially aiding AfD's path to an outright plurality or absolute majority under proportional representation. Absent major scandals or shifts, odds imply low upset risk ahead of campaign intensification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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