Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires en Saxe-Anhalt
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Saxe-Anhalt
AfD 90%
CDU 9.0%
La Gauche <1%
SPD <1%
$468,499 Vol.
$468,499 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
90%
CDU
9%
La Gauche
1%
SPD
1%
FDP
<1%
Les Verts
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 90%
CDU 9.0%
La Gauche <1%
SPD <1%
$468,499 Vol.
$468,499 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$4,801 Vol.
90%
CDU
$461,824 Vol.
9%
La Gauche
$1,874 Vol.
1%
SPD
$0 Vol.
1%
FDP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Les Verts
$0 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$468,499Date de fin
Sep 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$468,499Date de fin
Sep 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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