With over 93% of ballots processed by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) following the April 12-13 first-round presidential election—delayed by ballot delivery issues—Jorge Nieto of the Party of Good Government holds fourth place at 11.06% (1.74 million votes), trailing third-place Rafael López Aliaga (11.92%) but leading fifth-place Ricardo Belmont (10.17%) by a 141,000-vote margin that has stabilized amid rural vote tallies. This positioning, affirmed by IPSOS rapid counts, drives trader consensus to 98.6% on Nieto, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on minimal shifts in the remaining 7%. Challenges could arise from López Aliaga's fraud allegations sparking recounts or protests, or disproportionate late rural/southern support for Belmont, though EU/OAS observers report no irregularities and a June 7 runoff looms between leaders Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPremier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 4e place
Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 4e place
Jorge Nieto 98.6%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Keiko Fujimori <1%
$418,732 Vol.
$418,732 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Jorge Nieto 98.6%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Keiko Fujimori <1%
$418,732 Vol.
$418,732 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 93% of ballots processed by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) following the April 12-13 first-round presidential election—delayed by ballot delivery issues—Jorge Nieto of the Party of Good Government holds fourth place at 11.06% (1.74 million votes), trailing third-place Rafael López Aliaga (11.92%) but leading fifth-place Ricardo Belmont (10.17%) by a 141,000-vote margin that has stabilized amid rural vote tallies. This positioning, affirmed by IPSOS rapid counts, drives trader consensus to 98.6% on Nieto, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on minimal shifts in the remaining 7%. Challenges could arise from López Aliaga's fraud allegations sparking recounts or protests, or disproportionate late rural/southern support for Belmont, though EU/OAS observers report no irregularities and a June 7 runoff looms between leaders Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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