Former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to finish first in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent polls from early May, including Kreate Strategies (May 5-9), show Becerra surging to 20%—up 10 points—tying or edging Republican Steve Hilton (22%), with billionaire Tom Steyer at 14% amid heavy self-funding but persistent criticism. Becerra's momentum stems from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit and strong debate performances, including CNN's May 5 event, while high undecideds (14-17%) and ballot mailing keep the race fluid ahead of early voting. Hilton benefits from Trump's April endorsement but faces GOP vote split with Sheriff Chad Bianco.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourXavier Becerra 47%
Steve Hilton 21%
Tom Steyer 16%
Chad Bianco 2.9%
$25,994 Vol.
$25,994 Vol.
2 juin 2026
Xavier Becerra
47%
Steve Hilton
21%
Tom Steyer
16%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
3%
Derek Grasty
1%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Katie Porter
1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 47%
Steve Hilton 21%
Tom Steyer 16%
Chad Bianco 2.9%
$25,994 Vol.
$25,994 Vol.
2 juin 2026
Xavier Becerra
$7,413 Vol.
47%
Steve Hilton
$3,081 Vol.
21%
Tom Steyer
$4,444 Vol.
16%
Chad Bianco
$1,124 Vol.
3%
Matt Mahan
$1,559 Vol.
3%
Derek Grasty
$721 Vol.
1%
Nicki Minaj
$693 Vol.
1%
Raji Rab
$682 Vol.
1%
Katie Porter
$1,177 Vol.
1%
Elaine Culotti
$511 Vol.
<1%
Thunder Parley
$465 Vol.
<1%
Leo Zacky
$637 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
$595 Vol.
<1%
Carolina Buhler
$575 Vol.
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$508 Vol.
<1%
Betty Yee
$618 Vol.
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$565 Vol.
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
$626 Vol.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to finish first in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent polls from early May, including Kreate Strategies (May 5-9), show Becerra surging to 20%—up 10 points—tying or edging Republican Steve Hilton (22%), with billionaire Tom Steyer at 14% amid heavy self-funding but persistent criticism. Becerra's momentum stems from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit and strong debate performances, including CNN's May 5 event, while high undecideds (14-17%) and ballot mailing keep the race fluid ahead of early voting. Hilton benefits from Trump's April endorsement but faces GOP vote split with Sheriff Chad Bianco.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$25,994Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to finish first in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent polls from early May, including Kreate Strategies (May 5-9), show Becerra surging to 20%—up 10 points—tying or edging Republican Steve Hilton (22%), with billionaire Tom Steyer at 14% amid heavy self-funding but persistent criticism. Becerra's momentum stems from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit and strong debate performances, including CNN's May 5 event, while high undecideds (14-17%) and ballot mailing keep the race fluid ahead of early voting. Hilton benefits from Trump's April endorsement but faces GOP vote split with Sheriff Chad Bianco.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$25,994Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to finish first in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent polls from early May, including Kreate Strategies (May 5-9), show Becerra surging to 20%—up 10 points—tying or edging Republican Steve Hilton (22%), with billionaire Tom Steyer at 14% amid heavy self-funding but persistent criticism. Becerra's momentum stems from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit and strong debate performances, including CNN's May 5 event, while high undecideds (14-17%) and ballot mailing keep the race fluid ahead of early voting. Hilton benefits from Trump's April endorsement but faces GOP vote split with Sheriff Chad Bianco.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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