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Élections·Bulgarie

# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

Market icon
Élections·Bulgarie

# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

60-64 35%

55-59 22%

50-54 22%

65-69 18%

Polymarket
NEW

60-64 35%

55-59 22%

50-54 22%

65-69 18%

Polymarket
NEW

<50

$51 Vol.

24%

50-54

$50 Vol.

22%

55-59

$64 Vol.

22%

60-64

$39 Vol.

26%

65-69

$44 Vol.

18%

70+

$44 Vol.

13%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Market Links and Alpha Research, show Progressive Bulgaria surging to 29-31% support while GERB-SDS slips to 20-22%, projecting 55-66 seats for the centre-right bloc in Bulgaria's 240-seat Narodno Sabranie under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. Vote fragmentation among smaller parties like PP-DB (11-13%), DPS-NN (9-11%), and Vuzrazhdane (5-8%) boosts larger contenders' effective shares, but poll volatility, undecided voters (3-6%), and GERB-SDS's recent dips keep trader consensus tightly clustered around 55-64 seats. The April 19 snap election—sparked by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests—remains fluid, with campaign momentum, turnout surges, or minor party consolidations poised to tip projections.

Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Market Links and Alpha Research, show Progressive Bulgaria surging to 29-31% support while GERB-SDS slips to 20-22%, projecting 55-66 seats for the centre-right bloc in Bulgaria's 240-seat Narodno Sabranie under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. Vote fragmentation among smaller parties like PP-DB (11-13%), DPS-NN (9-11%), and Vuzrazhdane (5-8%) boosts larger contenders' effective shares, but poll volatility, undecided voters (3-6%), and GERB-SDS's recent dips keep trader consensus tightly clustered around 55-64 seats. The April 19 snap election—sparked by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests—remains fluid, with campaign momentum, turnout surges, or minor party consolidations poised to tip projections.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Market Links and Alpha Research, show Progressive Bulgaria surging to 29-31% support while GERB-SDS slips to 20-22%, projecting 55-66 seats for the centre-right bloc in Bulgaria's 240-seat Narodno Sabranie under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. Vote fragmentation among smaller parties like PP-DB (11-13%), DPS-NN (9-11%), and Vuzrazhdane (5-8%) boosts larger contenders' effective shares, but poll volatility, undecided voters (3-6%), and GERB-SDS's recent dips keep trader consensus tightly clustered around 55-64 seats. The April 19 snap election—sparked by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests—remains fluid, with campaign momentum, turnout surges, or minor party consolidations poised to tip projections.

Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Market Links and Alpha Research, show Progressive Bulgaria surging to 29-31% support while GERB-SDS slips to 20-22%, projecting 55-66 seats for the centre-right bloc in Bulgaria's 240-seat Narodno Sabranie under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. Vote fragmentation among smaller parties like PP-DB (11-13%), DPS-NN (9-11%), and Vuzrazhdane (5-8%) boosts larger contenders' effective shares, but poll volatility, undecided voters (3-6%), and GERB-SDS's recent dips keep trader consensus tightly clustered around 55-64 seats. The April 19 snap election—sparked by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests—remains fluid, with campaign momentum, turnout surges, or minor party consolidations poised to tip projections.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Le favori actuel pour « # of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election? » est « 60-64 » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <50 » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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