Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 95.3% for South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, reflecting the absence of any active investigations, impeachment proceedings, or credible allegations warranting such action amid her ongoing term ending January 2027. The state's Republican supermajorities—63-7 in the House and 32-3 in the Senate—erect high procedural barriers, as impeachment requires House majority approval followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction, a rare outcome historically for governors without overwhelming bipartisan support. No recent scandals or legislative pushes have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this status quo, solidified by prior controversies like her memoir disclosures fading without institutional fallout. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen felony charges, ethics probes by the attorney general, or a dramatic party revolt, though such catalysts remain speculative absent new developments.