Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour130M+ 26%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 15%
120-125 millions 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
<1%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115 millions
11%
115-120m
16%
120-125 millions
21%
125-130m
18%
130M+
26%
130M+ 26%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 15%
120-125 millions 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90 millions
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millions
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 millions
$526 Vol.
11%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125 millions
$408 Vol.
21%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
18%
130M+
$307 Vol.
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,260Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,260Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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