Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour115-120m 31%
130M+ 26%
125-130m 15%
110-115 millions 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
<1%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
6%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115 millions
16%
115-120m
31%
120-125 millions
38%
125-130m
28%
130M+
26%
115-120m 31%
130M+ 26%
125-130m 15%
110-115 millions 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90 millions
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millions
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
6%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 millions
$526 Vol.
16%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
31%
120-125 millions
$408 Vol.
38%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
28%
130M+
$307 Vol.
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,260Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,260Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes