Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 92.5% on Trump's executive order restricting mail-in voting—signed March 31 to require states to submit voter lists to the US Postal Service for verification ahead of 2026 midterms—reflecting swift legal challenges asserting presidential overreach into state election authority under the Constitution. Democrats and voting rights groups, including the ACLU and League of Women Voters, filed lawsuits within hours in US District Court for Massachusetts and elsewhere, echoing blocks on prior Trump election-related executive actions. States like Wisconsin rebuked the order, and experts anticipate preliminary injunctions soon, though appeals to higher courts including SCOTUS could prolong resolution; late reversals remain possible but unlikely given precedents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 92.5% on Trump's executive order restricting mail-in voting—signed March 31 to require states to submit voter lists to the US Postal Service for verification ahead of 2026 midterms—reflecting swift legal challenges asserting presidential overreach into state election authority under the Constitution. Democrats and voting rights groups, including the ACLU and League of Women Voters, filed lawsuits within hours in US District Court for Massachusetts and elsewhere, echoing blocks on prior Trump election-related executive actions. States like Wisconsin rebuked the order, and experts anticipate preliminary injunctions soon, though appeals to higher courts including SCOTUS could prolong resolution; late reversals remain possible but unlikely given precedents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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