Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal indictments from 2020 on four narcoterrorism-related counts in the Southern District of New York, including conspiracy to distribute cocaine for profit and weapons offenses, but no trial has occurred due to lack of extradition. Recent developments, including Maduro's disputed July 28 election victory—challenged by opposition leader Edmundo González and non-recognized by the U.S. and others—along with his August 30 inauguration amid protests and sanctions, reinforce his grip on power. Ongoing suppression of dissent and stalled International Criminal Court arrest warrant requests for human rights abuses further diminish near-term prospects for a full guilty verdict, aligning with traders' 68% consensus on "No."
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$97,895 Vol.
$97,895 Vol.
Oui
$97,895 Vol.
$97,895 Vol.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal indictments from 2020 on four narcoterrorism-related counts in the Southern District of New York, including conspiracy to distribute cocaine for profit and weapons offenses, but no trial has occurred due to lack of extradition. Recent developments, including Maduro's disputed July 28 election victory—challenged by opposition leader Edmundo González and non-recognized by the U.S. and others—along with his August 30 inauguration amid protests and sanctions, reinforce his grip on power. Ongoing suppression of dissent and stalled International Criminal Court arrest warrant requests for human rights abuses further diminish near-term prospects for a full guilty verdict, aligning with traders' 68% consensus on "No."
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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