A federal judge's preliminary injunction issued March 31 halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom project, citing violations of historic preservation laws after East Wing demolition and the need for Congressional authorization, as the president serves as temporary custodian. The DOJ swiftly appealed, but with no immediate lifting expected, traders price an 81.5% chance of ongoing federal court blocks through April 30. Today's National Capital Planning Commission vote on design plans offers potential procedural progress, yet preservationist lawsuits from the National Trust for Historic Preservation maintain uncertainty, reflecting trader consensus on protracted judicial hurdles over executive-led construction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's preliminary injunction issued March 31 halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom project, citing violations of historic preservation laws after East Wing demolition and the need for Congressional authorization, as the president serves as temporary custodian. The DOJ swiftly appealed, but with no immediate lifting expected, traders price an 81.5% chance of ongoing federal court blocks through April 30. Today's National Capital Planning Commission vote on design plans offers potential procedural progress, yet preservationist lawsuits from the National Trust for Historic Preservation maintain uncertainty, reflecting trader consensus on protracted judicial hurdles over executive-led construction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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