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Politique·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto
Politique·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto

Olivia Chow 79%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 2.1%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,162 Vol.

Olivia Chow 79%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 2.1%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,162 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$7,299 Vol.

79%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$8,943 Vol.

20%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$3,277 Vol.

2%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,924 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$2,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$2,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$2,931 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,536 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win Toronto's October 26, 2026 municipal election, propelled by a Liaison Strategies poll released May 14 showing her leading challenger Coun. Brad Bradford 50%-37% among decided voters amid widespread frustration over traffic congestion. Chow, yet to officially declare despite consistent double-digit advantages in prior surveys like April's 46%-35% margin, benefits from incumbency and name recognition as nominations opened May 1 and close August 21. Bradford, who registered his campaign early, positions as the main alternative at 19.5%, while Ana Bailão and others trail with under 3% due to limited momentum and undecided voters hovering around 25%. Upcoming candidate announcements could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$30,162
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win Toronto's October 26, 2026 municipal election, propelled by a Liaison Strategies poll released May 14 showing her leading challenger Coun. Brad Bradford 50%-37% among decided voters amid widespread frustration over traffic congestion. Chow, yet to officially declare despite consistent double-digit advantages in prior surveys like April's 46%-35% margin, benefits from incumbency and name recognition as nominations opened May 1 and close August 21. Bradford, who registered his campaign early, positions as the main alternative at 19.5%, while Ana Bailão and others trail with under 3% due to limited momentum and undecided voters hovering around 25%. Upcoming candidate announcements could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$30,162
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Olivia Chow » à 79%, suivi de « Brad Bradford » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » a généré $30.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » est « Olivia Chow » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Brad Bradford » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.