Polling averages from leading Hungarian pollsters like Publicus and Závecz Research now show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party commanding 47-52% support in nationwide popular vote intentions for the April 2026 parliamentary election, up sharply from summer levels and well ahead of incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance at 28-34%. This trader consensus favoring Tisza at 75.5% stems from recent large-scale rallies drawing tens of thousands, persistent economic discontent amid high inflation and frozen EU funds, and Fidesz's eroding approval following corruption probes and diplomatic isolation. While Fidesz retains incumbency edges through state media dominance and coalition stability, upcoming local by-elections and candidate announcements could test Tisza's surge before formal campaigning ramps up.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTisza 76%
Fidesz–KDNP 25%
Autre <1%
$103,755 Vol.
$103,755 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
25%
Tisza
76%
Autre
<1%
Tisza 76%
Fidesz–KDNP 25%
Autre <1%
$103,755 Vol.
$103,755 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$57,852 Vol.
25%
Tisza
$45,904 Vol.
76%
Autre
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Polling averages from leading Hungarian pollsters like Publicus and Závecz Research now show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party commanding 47-52% support in nationwide popular vote intentions for the April 2026 parliamentary election, up sharply from summer levels and well ahead of incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance at 28-34%. This trader consensus favoring Tisza at 75.5% stems from recent large-scale rallies drawing tens of thousands, persistent economic discontent amid high inflation and frozen EU funds, and Fidesz's eroding approval following corruption probes and diplomatic isolation. While Fidesz retains incumbency edges through state media dominance and coalition stability, upcoming local by-elections and candidate announcements could test Tisza's surge before formal campaigning ramps up.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$103,755Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Polling averages from leading Hungarian pollsters like Publicus and Závecz Research now show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party commanding 47-52% support in nationwide popular vote intentions for the April 2026 parliamentary election, up sharply from summer levels and well ahead of incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance at 28-34%. This trader consensus favoring Tisza at 75.5% stems from recent large-scale rallies drawing tens of thousands, persistent economic discontent amid high inflation and frozen EU funds, and Fidesz's eroding approval following corruption probes and diplomatic isolation. While Fidesz retains incumbency edges through state media dominance and coalition stability, upcoming local by-elections and candidate announcements could test Tisza's surge before formal campaigning ramps up.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$103,755Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polling averages from leading Hungarian pollsters like Publicus and Závecz Research now show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party commanding 47-52% support in nationwide popular vote intentions for the April 2026 parliamentary election, up sharply from summer levels and well ahead of incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance at 28-34%. This trader consensus favoring Tisza at 75.5% stems from recent large-scale rallies drawing tens of thousands, persistent economic discontent amid high inflation and frozen EU funds, and Fidesz's eroding approval following corruption probes and diplomatic isolation. While Fidesz retains incumbency edges through state media dominance and coalition stability, upcoming local by-elections and candidate announcements could test Tisza's surge before formal campaigning ramps up.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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