FlightAware's preliminary data logging 5,952 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1 has locked in trader consensus at 99.6% for over 5,000 delays, driven by FAA warnings of low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting major hubs like Boston (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports, Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas facilities, plus wind in Las Vegas (LAS). FAA arrival restrictions at San Francisco (SFO)—cutting capacity up to 33% for runway repaving and safety—along with forecasted ground delays at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), LaGuardia (LGA), Reagan National (DCA), and others exacerbated nationwide backups. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically confirming 15+ minute delays, could trim the count marginally via revised criteria or exclusions, but a plunge below 5,000 remains a remote outlier scenario.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour>5,000 99.6%
4,000-4,500 1.1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
$3,113 Vol.
$3,113 Vol.
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
100%
>5,000 99.6%
4,000-4,500 1.1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
$3,113 Vol.
$3,113 Vol.
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
100%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Source de résolution
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...FlightAware's preliminary data logging 5,952 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1 has locked in trader consensus at 99.6% for over 5,000 delays, driven by FAA warnings of low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting major hubs like Boston (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports, Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas facilities, plus wind in Las Vegas (LAS). FAA arrival restrictions at San Francisco (SFO)—cutting capacity up to 33% for runway repaving and safety—along with forecasted ground delays at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), LaGuardia (LGA), Reagan National (DCA), and others exacerbated nationwide backups. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically confirming 15+ minute delays, could trim the count marginally via revised criteria or exclusions, but a plunge below 5,000 remains a remote outlier scenario.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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