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Géopolitique·Dérivés

Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ?

Market icon
Géopolitique·Dérivés

Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$1,031,103 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,031,103 Vol.

Polymarket

30 %

$1,031,103 Vol.

<1%

50 %

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President-elect Donald Trump reignited interest in acquiring Greenland with a December 23 Truth Social post, declaring U.S. ownership essential for national security and countering great power rivals in the Arctic. Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen promptly rejected the idea, stating Greenland is not for sale and its future rests with Greenlanders, who enjoy significant autonomy under Danish sovereignty. This revives Trump's 2019 purchase proposal, which prompted a diplomatic spat and canceled state visit. Greenland's strategic value—rare earth minerals, shipping routes, and U.S.-operated Thule Air Base—fuels speculation, but no talks are scheduled. Trump's January 20 inauguration could prompt diplomatic signals, though firm Danish opposition tempers expectations ahead of March 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$1,031,103
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 9, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President-elect Donald Trump reignited interest in acquiring Greenland with a December 23 Truth Social post, declaring U.S. ownership essential for national security and countering great power rivals in the Arctic. Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen promptly rejected the idea, stating Greenland is not for sale and its future rests with Greenlanders, who enjoy significant autonomy under Danish sovereignty. This revives Trump's 2019 purchase proposal, which prompted a diplomatic spat and canceled state visit. Greenland's strategic value—rare earth minerals, shipping routes, and U.S.-operated Thule Air Base—fuels speculation, but no talks are scheduled. Trump's January 20 inauguration could prompt diplomatic signals, though firm Danish opposition tempers expectations ahead of March 31.

President-elect Donald Trump reignited interest in acquiring Greenland with a December 23 Truth Social post, declaring U.S. ownership essential for national security and countering great power rivals in the Arctic. Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen promptly rejected the idea, stating Greenland is not for sale and its future rests with Greenlanders, who enjoy significant autonomy under Danish sovereignty. This revives Trump's 2019 purchase proposal, which prompted a diplomatic spat and canceled state visit. Greenland's strategic value—rare earth minerals, shipping routes, and U.S.-operated Thule Air Base—fuels speculation, but no talks are scheduled. Trump's January 20 inauguration could prompt diplomatic signals, though firm Danish opposition tempers expectations ahead of March 31.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 % » à 0%, suivi de « 50 % » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 0¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » a généré $1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « 30 % » à seulement 0%, avec « 50 % » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.