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Géopolitique·Dérivés

Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ?

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Géopolitique·Dérivés

Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$1,031,716 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,031,716 Vol.

Polymarket

30 %

$1,031,716 Vol.

<1%

50 %

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.No notable developments on U.S. acquisition of Greenland, Denmark's autonomous territory, have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the situation unchanged since President-elect Donald Trump's 2019 purchase proposal was rejected as "absurd" by Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic leaders. Trader consensus underscores formidable barriers: territorial sovereignty under international law, NATO alliance commitments, and absence of bilateral negotiations or Danish willingness to sell for strategic resources or security reasons. The window before 2027 aligns with a potential second Trump term, but historical precedents for sovereign territorial transfers remain rare without crisis-driven concessions. Watch for inauguration-week foreign policy signals or Arctic diplomacy updates that could shift sentiment.

No notable developments on U.S. acquisition of Greenland, Denmark's autonomous territory, have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the situation unchanged since President-elect Donald Trump's 2019 purchase proposal was rejected as "absurd" by Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic leaders. Trader consensus underscores formidable barriers: territorial sovereignty under international law, NATO alliance commitments, and absence of bilateral negotiations or Danish willingness to sell for strategic resources or security reasons. The window before 2027 aligns with a potential second Trump term, but historical precedents for sovereign territorial transfers remain rare without crisis-driven concessions. Watch for inauguration-week foreign policy signals or Arctic diplomacy updates that could shift sentiment.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.No notable developments on U.S. acquisition of Greenland, Denmark's autonomous territory, have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the situation unchanged since President-elect Donald Trump's 2019 purchase proposal was rejected as "absurd" by Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic leaders. Trader consensus underscores formidable barriers: territorial sovereignty under international law, NATO alliance commitments, and absence of bilateral negotiations or Danish willingness to sell for strategic resources or security reasons. The window before 2027 aligns with a potential second Trump term, but historical precedents for sovereign territorial transfers remain rare without crisis-driven concessions. Watch for inauguration-week foreign policy signals or Arctic diplomacy updates that could shift sentiment.

No notable developments on U.S. acquisition of Greenland, Denmark's autonomous territory, have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the situation unchanged since President-elect Donald Trump's 2019 purchase proposal was rejected as "absurd" by Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic leaders. Trader consensus underscores formidable barriers: territorial sovereignty under international law, NATO alliance commitments, and absence of bilateral negotiations or Danish willingness to sell for strategic resources or security reasons. The window before 2027 aligns with a potential second Trump term, but historical precedents for sovereign territorial transfers remain rare without crisis-driven concessions. Watch for inauguration-week foreign policy signals or Arctic diplomacy updates that could shift sentiment.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 % » à 0%, suivi de « 50 % » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 0¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » a généré $1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « 30 % » à seulement 0%, avec « 50 % » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Probabilités que Trump acquière le Groenland avant 2027 __ d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.