President-elect Trump's December 23 Truth Social post reiterating U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland for national security purposes triggered swift rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who deemed it "absurd," and Greenlandic leaders affirming self-determination rights. This echoes the 2019 rebuff when Denmark canceled a presidential visit over similar overtures, highlighting entrenched sovereignty barriers under international law and Greenland's autonomous status within the Kingdom of Denmark. Absent formal diplomatic negotiations, treaty discussions, or economic incentives gaining traction—none of which have materialized—traders price a 90.8% "No" probability, viewing territorial acquisition as a remote prospect despite Arctic strategic value in resources and military positioning. Late-breaking diplomacy or geopolitical shifts could theoretically alter odds, though historical precedents suggest formidable hurdles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$30,841,725 Vol.
$30,841,725 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oui
$30,841,725 Vol.
$30,841,725 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President-elect Trump's December 23 Truth Social post reiterating U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland for national security purposes triggered swift rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who deemed it "absurd," and Greenlandic leaders affirming self-determination rights. This echoes the 2019 rebuff when Denmark canceled a presidential visit over similar overtures, highlighting entrenched sovereignty barriers under international law and Greenland's autonomous status within the Kingdom of Denmark. Absent formal diplomatic negotiations, treaty discussions, or economic incentives gaining traction—none of which have materialized—traders price a 90.8% "No" probability, viewing territorial acquisition as a remote prospect despite Arctic strategic value in resources and military positioning. Late-breaking diplomacy or geopolitical shifts could theoretically alter odds, though historical precedents suggest formidable hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$30,841,725Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President-elect Trump's December 23 Truth Social post reiterating U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland for national security purposes triggered swift rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who deemed it "absurd," and Greenlandic leaders affirming self-determination rights. This echoes the 2019 rebuff when Denmark canceled a presidential visit over similar overtures, highlighting entrenched sovereignty barriers under international law and Greenland's autonomous status within the Kingdom of Denmark. Absent formal diplomatic negotiations, treaty discussions, or economic incentives gaining traction—none of which have materialized—traders price a 90.8% "No" probability, viewing territorial acquisition as a remote prospect despite Arctic strategic value in resources and military positioning. Late-breaking diplomacy or geopolitical shifts could theoretically alter odds, though historical precedents suggest formidable hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$30,841,725Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's December 23 Truth Social post reiterating U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland for national security purposes triggered swift rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who deemed it "absurd," and Greenlandic leaders affirming self-determination rights. This echoes the 2019 rebuff when Denmark canceled a presidential visit over similar overtures, highlighting entrenched sovereignty barriers under international law and Greenland's autonomous status within the Kingdom of Denmark. Absent formal diplomatic negotiations, treaty discussions, or economic incentives gaining traction—none of which have materialized—traders price a 90.8% "No" probability, viewing territorial acquisition as a remote prospect despite Arctic strategic value in resources and military positioning. Late-breaking diplomacy or geopolitical shifts could theoretically alter odds, though historical precedents suggest formidable hurdles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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