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Politique·Approbation

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Market icon
Politique·Approbation

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

En hausse

58% chance
Polymarket
NEW

En hausse

58% chance
Polymarket
NEW
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval rating to rise in April, reflecting stabilization after hitting lows earlier in 2026. YouGov's March 23 poll shows his net favourability steady at -48, unchanged from February's post-leadership crisis recovery, despite a humiliating Labour third-place finish in the late February Gorton and Denton by-election to the Greens. Public opinion remains split on Starmer's cautious response to the US-Iran conflict, with recent Opinium data noting a modest four-point uptick amid the crisis, potentially sustaining a "rally 'round the flag" effect. No major domestic catalysts loom before April polls, but ongoing de-escalation signals and absence of fresh scandals underpin expectations of slight improvement from entrenched negative territory.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval rating to rise in April, reflecting stabilization after hitting lows earlier in 2026. YouGov's March 23 poll shows his net favourability steady at -48, unchanged from February's post-leadership crisis recovery, despite a humiliating Labour third-place finish in the late February Gorton and Denton by-election to the Greens. Public opinion remains split on Starmer's cautious response to the US-Iran conflict, with recent Opinium data noting a modest four-point uptick amid the crisis, potentially sustaining a "rally 'round the flag" effect. No major domestic catalysts loom before April polls, but ongoing de-escalation signals and absence of fresh scandals underpin expectations of slight improvement from entrenched negative territory.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval rating to rise in April, reflecting stabilization after hitting lows earlier in 2026. YouGov's March 23 poll shows his net favourability steady at -48, unchanged from February's post-leadership crisis recovery, despite a humiliating Labour third-place finish in the late February Gorton and Denton by-election to the Greens. Public opinion remains split on Starmer's cautious response to the US-Iran conflict, with recent Opinium data noting a modest four-point uptick amid the crisis, potentially sustaining a "rally 'round the flag" effect. No major domestic catalysts loom before April polls, but ongoing de-escalation signals and absence of fresh scandals underpin expectations of slight improvement from entrenched negative territory.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval rating to rise in April, reflecting stabilization after hitting lows earlier in 2026. YouGov's March 23 poll shows his net favourability steady at -48, unchanged from February's post-leadership crisis recovery, despite a humiliating Labour third-place finish in the late February Gorton and Denton by-election to the Greens. Public opinion remains split on Starmer's cautious response to the US-Iran conflict, with recent Opinium data noting a modest four-point uptick amid the crisis, potentially sustaining a "rally 'round the flag" effect. No major domestic catalysts loom before April polls, but ongoing de-escalation signals and absence of fresh scandals underpin expectations of slight improvement from entrenched negative territory.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Starmer approval Up or Down in April? » est un marché de prédiction quotidien sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur la question de savoir si le prix de Starmer approval Up or Down in April? finira plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») que son prix d'ouverture sur la fenêtre quotidien spécifiée dans le titre. La probabilité actuelle du marché est de 58% pour « En hausse ». Un prix de 58% signifie que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 58% à ce résultat. Les prix sont mis à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux mouvements de prix en direct de Starmer approval Up or Down in April?. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Starmer approval Up or Down in April? » est un marché actif à court terme sur Polymarket. Le volume de trading peut s'accumuler rapidement à mesure que la fenêtre quotidien progresse — entrez tôt pour aider à définir les cotes avant la fermeture de cette fenêtre.

Pour trader sur « Starmer approval Up or Down in April? », décidez si vous pensez que le prix de Starmer approval Up or Down in April? à midi ET le April 29 sera plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») qu'à midi ET le March 27. Achetez « Up » si vous pensez que le prix va monter, ou « Down » s'il va baisser. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat est correct, chaque part rapporte $1,00. S'il est incorrect, les parts valent $0.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Starmer approval Up or Down in April? » est de 58% pour « En hausse », ce qui signifie que la communauté Polymarket attribue actuellement une probabilité de 58% que le prix de Starmer approval Up or Down in April? finira en hausse sur cette fenêtre quotidien. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux données de prix en direct de Starmer approval Up or Down in April?. Sur une journée entière, les cotes reflètent le sentiment en évolution à mesure que l'action de prix de la journée se déroule. Revenez fréquemment ou tradez maintenant avant la fermeture de la fenêtre.

Le marché « Starmer approval Up or Down in April? » se résout sur la base d'une comparaison du prix de Starmer approval Up or Down in April? à midi ET le April 29 par rapport à midi ET le March 27, en utilisant les prix de clôture des bougies 1 minute Binance STARMER-APPROVAL/USDT. Si le prix à midi du April 29 est plus élevé, le résultat est « Up » ; s'il est plus bas, « Down » ; s'il est égal, le marché se résout 50-50. Vous pouvez consulter les critères complets dans la section « Règles ».